Sport Picks
Mexico vs Rayo Vallecano B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 
Match Events
11'
11'
Migallon D.
57'
57'
de las Sias M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Mexico and Rayo Vallecano B finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mexico come out ahead of Rayo Vallecano B on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mexico Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mexico | Rayo Vallecano B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Mexico
4:1
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Rayo Vallecano B
0:3
Feb 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Mexico
1:2
Oct 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Rayo Vallecano B
1:1
Mar 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Rayo Vallecano B
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mexico Compare
Top Goalscorer Migallon D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Rayo Vallecano B Compare
Top Goalscorer de las Sias M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mexico 31 / 100
Rayo Vallecano B 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mexico Rayo Vallecano B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mexico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Mexico scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Rayo Vallecano B has conceded goals in 76% of their last 34 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Rayo Vallecano B's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Mexico VS Rayo Vallecano B
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Mexico
(Home) 24 Oct
CD Las Rozas
4 : 3 Mexico
17 Oct
Mexico
2 : 2 Real Aranjuez
11 Oct
Pozuelo de Alarcon
4 : 3 Mexico
03 Oct
Mexico
1 : 0 CP Parla Escuela
27 Sept
Siello
3 : 2 Mexico
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Mexico
2 : 2 Real Aranjuez
03 Oct
Mexico
1 : 0 CP Parla Escuela
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1 Union Adarve
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0 CF Fuenlabrada
03 May
Mexico
0 : 2 Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 3
Rayo Vallecano B
(Away) 25 Oct
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
18 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes B
4 : 3 Rayo Vallecano B
11 Oct
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 0 Trival Valderas
04 Oct
RC Alcobendas
4 : 2 Rayo Vallecano B
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2 Galapagar
Page 1 of 7
18 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes B
4 : 3 Rayo Vallecano B
04 Oct
RC Alcobendas
4 : 2 Rayo Vallecano B
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano B
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
14 Aug
Getafe B
4 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Mostoles | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:5 | 17 |
| 2 | CD Las Rozas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 4 | Colonia Moscardo | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 17:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Galapagar | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 6 | Cala Pozuelo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Union Adarve | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Trival Valderas | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Leganes B | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 11 |
| 10 | AD Torrejon | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 11 | CF Fuenlabrada | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 12 | RC Alcobendas | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 13 | Real Aranjuez | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 14 | CP Parla Escuela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14:21 | 7 |
| 16 | Mexico | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano B | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:18 | 5 |
| 18 | Siello | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:24 | 4 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)
