Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mexico vs Siello

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mexico in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mexico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mexico
30%
Draws
47%
Siello
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Siello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Siello haven't matched Mexico's recent run of results.
  • Siello are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mexico Clean Sheet 12%
Siello Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico Siello
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Mexico
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Siello
0:1
Jan 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Siello
3:1
Sep 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Mexico
0:2
Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Mexico
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico 22 / 100
Siello 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico Siello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siello Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Siello has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mexico stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico VS Siello
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico

(Home)
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0
CF Fuenlabrada
10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2
Mexico
03 May
Mexico
0 : 2
Trival Valderas
26 Apr
AD Torrejon
3 : 3
Mexico
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
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Siello

(Away)
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5
Siello
26 Apr
Siello
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
19 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 1
Siello
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 38 23 4 11 63:40 73
2 Union Adarve 38 19 9 10 55:41 66
3 Mexico 38 16 15 7 49:28 63
4 CD Mostoles 38 16 14 8 62:41 62
5 Leganes B 38 18 8 12 57:45 62
6 Getafe B 38 17 9 12 54:35 60
7 Atletico Pinto 38 15 13 10 36:30 58
8 RSD Alcala 38 14 15 9 36:28 57
9 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 15 11 12 52:40 56
10 Santa Ana 38 15 8 15 43:54 53
11 Villaverde San Andres 38 13 10 15 41:52 49
12 San Fernando de Henares 38 12 13 13 44:43 49
13 Alcorcon B 38 12 12 14 40:46 48
14 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 11 15 12 40:35 48
15 Rayo Vallecano B 38 12 11 15 57:49 47
16 Trival Valderas 38 11 13 14 44:48 46
17 Alcobendas 38 10 14 14 29:37 44
18 Aravaca CF 38 9 11 18 36:64 38
19 Siello 38 7 10 21 21:57 31
20 Parla 38 4 7 27 21:67 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)