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Mexico W vs El Salvador W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games Women Estadio Complejo Deportivo Moca 85, Moca
Wed, Aug 5, 2026
4 - 1
12:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Bosch L.
Assist: Veloz A.
71' Event
Lopez A.
Assist: Reyes K.
91' Event
Frias A.
Assist: Coury N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mexico W
15%
Draws
28%
El Salvador W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mexico W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mexico W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Mexico W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Mexico W Clean Sheet 68%
El Salvador W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico W El Salvador W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 27 20
Draws 4 2
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 3.32 2.57
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Mexico W vs El Salvador W
4:1
Jul 2, 2023 Central American & Caribbean Games Women
El Salvador W vs Mexico W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico W Compare

Top Goalscorer Frias A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bosch L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

El Salvador W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico W 95 / 100
El Salvador W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico W El Salvador W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico W's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

El Salvador W has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Mexico W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico W VS El Salvador W
3.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico W

(Home)
10 Oct
Mexico W
3 : 4
Jamaica W
07 Aug
Colombia W
1 : 2
Mexico W
05 Aug
Mexico W
4 : 1
El Salvador W
02 Aug
Jamaica W
0 : 7
Mexico W
31 Jul
Colombia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
Page 1 of 7

El Salvador W

(Away)
10 Oct
El Salvador W
1 : 5
Paraguay W
06 Aug
Venezuela W
1 : 2
El Salvador W
05 Aug
Mexico W
4 : 1
El Salvador W
02 Aug
Costa Rica W
0 : 1
El Salvador W
31 Jul
Venezuela W
2 : 0
El Salvador W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Venezuela W 2
Colombia W 3
Mexico W 4
El Salvador W 1
Final
Colombia W 1
Mexico W 2
Venezuela W 1
El Salvador W 2