Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C 2014/2015 Stadio Briamasco

Sacilese

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mezzocorona play Sacilese in the Serie D - Group C 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mezzocorona averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. Sacilese averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. In past meetings, Mezzocorona won 0, Sacilese won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 15, 2015 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.29 for Mezzocorona and 0.68 for Sacilese. This points to a Sacilese double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Mezzocorona

15%

Draws

54%

Sacilese

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sacilese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Mezzocorona picked up more points recently compared to Sacilese.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.29 vs 0.68 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Mezzocorona Clean Sheet 28%

Sacilese Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mezzocorona	Sacilese
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	3	3
Draws	5	5
Losses	22	24
Goals Scored	0.63	0.88
Goals Conceded	2.47	2.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2015 Serie D - Group C

Mezzocorona vs Sacilese

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

0:4

Nov 2, 2014 Serie D - Group C

Sacilese vs Mezzocorona

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

4:2

Jan 5, 2014 Serie D - Group C

Mezzocorona vs Sacilese

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Sep 1, 2013 Serie D - Group C

Sacilese vs Mezzocorona

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Apr 10, 2011 Lega Pro C2/A

Mezzocorona vs Sacilese

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mezzocorona 34 / 100

Sacilese 51 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mezzocorona Sacilese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sacilese Win (2)

Secondary Pick Sacilese & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mezzocorona attacking → ← attacking Sacilese

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mezzocorona scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Sacilese let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Mezzocorona went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Sacilese lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 14

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Padova	34	27	4	3	77:30	85
2	Altovicentino	34	21	7	6	63:34	70
3	Sacilese	34	18	8	8	62:31	62
4	AC Belluno	34	16	11	7	57:38	59
5	Arzignano	34	15	11	8	53:39	56
6	Union Pro	34	16	7	11	46:42	55
7	Clodiense	34	13	10	11	48:47	49
8	Montebelluna	34	12	11	11	45:49	47
9	Union Feltre	34	11	12	11	45:42	45
10	Fontanafredda	34	12	8	14	50:49	44
11	Legnago Salus	34	11	10	13	50:55	43
12	Tamai	34	9	14	11	45:38	41
13	Giorgione	34	10	8	16	40:50	38
14	USD Dro	34	7	14	13	37:50	35
15	Triestina	34	6	16	12	41:51	34
16	Kras	34	8	9	17	41:58	33
17	Mori	34	4	7	23	31:69	19
18	Mezzocorona	34	3	7	24	20:79	12