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Mezzolara vs Forli FC

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Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mezzolara play Forli FC in the Serie D - Group D 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mezzolara averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Forli FC averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Mezzolara won 2, Forli FC won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 28, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Mezzolara and 0.80 for Forli FC. This points to a Forli FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mezzolara
30%
Draws
34%
Forli FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mezzolara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Forli FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mezzolara.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Mezzolara.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 20%
Forli FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mezzolara Forli FC
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 2 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Mezzolara
2:0
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Forli FC
2:3
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Mezzolara
2:2
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Forli FC
1:0
May 8, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Forli FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mezzolara Compare

Top Goalscorer Bovo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vassallo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Forli FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Prestianni T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Merlonghi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mezzolara 36 / 100
Forli FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mezzolara Forli FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mezzolara scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Forli FC let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mezzolara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Forli FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Forli FC
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Carpi32215666:3168
2Ravenna32199456:1366
3Corticella321831159:4057
4Victor San Marino32176944:3757
5Lentigione32168849:3156
6Forli FC32167948:3555
7Prato321281237:4144
8Sangiuliano City321281232:3744
9Fanfulla3211101128:3543
10Sant'Angelo321181347:4441
11Aglianese Calcio321181332:3941
12Imolese321261431:3340
13Sammaurese321141737:4837
14SCD Progresso321141727:4337
15San Donnino325101732:5825
16Certaldo32662022:5524
17Mezzolara32562123:5021
18Pistoiese00000:00