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Mezzolara vs Grassina Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Mezzolara and Grassina finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Mezzolara
35%
Draws
16%
Grassina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mezzolara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grassina come out ahead of Mezzolara on wins alone.
  • Mezzolara are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 68%
Grassina Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mezzolara Grassina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 4
Draws 10 10
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.69 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.01 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Mezzolara vs Grassina
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mezzolara 50 / 100
Grassina 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mezzolara Grassina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mezzolara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grassina let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Mezzolara has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Grassina registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mezzolara's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mezzolara VS Grassina
0.88 Goals Scored 0.43
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Mezzolara

(Home)
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Grassina
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1
Ternana
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
06 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Rondinella
Page 1 of 6

Grassina

(Away)
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Grassina
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3
Scandicci
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1
Grassina
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1
Flaminia
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0
Grassina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Follonica Gavorrano 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
2 Prato 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Seravezza Pozzi 5 3 1 1 13:3 10
4 Lucchese 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
5 Flaminia 5 3 1 1 8:8 10
6 Tau 5 3 0 2 9:12 9
7 Scandicci 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
8 Siena 5 2 1 2 11:7 7
9 Terranuova Traiana 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
10 Montevarchi 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
12 Mezzolara 5 1 3 1 3:5 6
13 Ternana 5 1 2 2 5:4 5
14 Sasso Marconi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 SCD Progresso 5 1 0 4 3:13 3
16 Grassina 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
17 Rondinella 5 0 2 3 3:9 2
18 Ghiviborgo 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)