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Mezzolara vs Pistoiese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Mezzolara Logo

Mezzolara

0 - 0
FT
Pistoiese Logo

Pistoiese

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Mezzolara
30%
Draws
50%
Pistoiese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pistoiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Pistoiese have won more games recently than Mezzolara.
  • Model gives Pistoiese a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 23%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mezzolara Pistoiese
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 3 25
Draws 10 6
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.67 1.92
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Pistoiese
0:0
Oct 15, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Mezzolara
0:0
Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Mezzolara
2:1
Sep 11, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Pistoiese
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mezzolara 10 / 100
Pistoiese 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mezzolara Pistoiese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pistoiese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Mezzolara remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Mezzolara's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pistoiese let in goals in 46% of their last 37 matches.

H2H data points to 0.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mezzolara VS Pistoiese
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mezzolara

(Home)
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Grassina
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1
Ternana
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
06 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Rondinella
Page 1 of 6

Pistoiese

(Away)
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0
Sant'Angelo
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1
Pistoiese
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
06 Sept
Pistoiese
2 : 0
Solbiatese
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carpi 32 21 5 6 66:31 68
2 Ravenna 32 19 9 4 56:13 66
3 Corticella 32 18 3 11 59:40 57
4 Victor San Marino 32 17 6 9 44:37 57
5 Lentigione 32 16 8 8 49:31 56
6 Forli FC 32 16 7 9 48:35 55
7 Prato 32 12 8 12 37:41 44
8 Sangiuliano City 32 12 8 12 32:37 44
9 Fanfulla 32 11 10 11 28:35 43
10 Sant'Angelo 32 11 8 13 47:44 41
11 Aglianese Calcio 32 11 8 13 32:39 41
12 Imolese 32 12 6 14 31:33 40
13 Sammaurese 32 11 4 17 37:48 37
14 SCD Progresso 32 11 4 17 27:43 37
15 San Donnino 32 5 10 17 32:58 25
16 Certaldo 32 6 6 20 22:55 24
17 Mezzolara 32 5 6 21 23:50 21
18 Pistoiese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 (Play Offs)