Sport Picks
Mezzolara vs Vigor Carpaneto
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D 2019/2020 
Match Events
63'
63'
Negri P.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Mezzolara advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vigor Carpaneto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mezzolara haven't matched Vigor Carpaneto's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Vigor Carpaneto arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mezzolara, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 22%
Vigor Carpaneto Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mezzolara | Vigor Carpaneto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 20 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.74 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 19, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Mezzolara
1:1
Sep 25, 2019 Coppa Italia Serie D
Mezzolara vs Vigor Carpaneto
1:0
Sep 15, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Vigor Carpaneto
2:1
Feb 17, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Vigor Carpaneto
1:0
Oct 28, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Mezzolara
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mezzolara Compare
Top Goalscorer Negri P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Vigor Carpaneto Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mezzolara 37 / 100
Vigor Carpaneto 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mezzolara Vigor Carpaneto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vigor Carpaneto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vigor Carpaneto let in goals in 90% of their last 20 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Mezzolara remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Mezzolara scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Mezzolara VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mezzolara
(Home) 20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1 Mezzolara
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1 Ternana
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0 Mezzolara
06 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0 Rondinella
05 May
Mezzolara
1 : 2 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1 Ternana
06 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0 Rondinella
05 May
Mezzolara
1 : 2 SCD Progresso
21 Apr
Mezzolara
3 : 1 Sammaurese
14 Apr
Mezzolara
0 : 0 Aglianese Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Vigor Carpaneto
(Away) 16 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1 Correggese
09 Feb
Crema
1 : 2 Vigor Carpaneto
02 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1 Fiorenzuola
26 Jan
Mantova
1 : 1 Vigor Carpaneto
19 Jan
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1 Mezzolara
Page 1 of 4
09 Feb
Crema
1 : 2 Vigor Carpaneto
26 Jan
Mantova
1 : 1 Vigor Carpaneto
12 Jan
Sasso Marconi
3 : 2 Vigor Carpaneto
15 Dec
Forli FC
1 : 1 Vigor Carpaneto
24 Nov
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 1 Vigor Carpaneto
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Mantova 3
Ciliverghe Mazzano 4
Folgore Caratese 2
Caravaggio 0
Seregno Calcio 4
Casale 1
Crema 1
Fanfulla 0
Montebelluna 2
Union Feltre 3
Villafranca 2
Virtus Bolzano 1
Chions 0
Campodarsego 3
Mestre 0
Adriese 1
Grassina 2
Scandicci 1
San Donato Tavarnelle 2
Monterosi 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2
Grosseto 1
FC Ponsacco 4
Tuttocuoio 2
Pro Sesto 1
Inveruno 2
Brusaporto 2
Villa Valle 1
AC Chieri 3
Ligorna 0
Sanremese 1
Savona 0
Avezzano 0
Pineto 1
Trastevere Calcio 0
Ostiamare 1
Lanusei Calcio 0
Sassari Torres 2
Aprilia 1
Vis Artena 0
US Tolentino 3
Cannara 1
Sangiustese 1
Montegiorgio 2
Mezzolara 1
Vigor Carpaneto 0
Savignanese 2
Matelica 1
Roma City 1
Portici 1906 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Fidelis Andria 0
Francavilla 0
Citta di Fasano 2
Taranto 2
Audace Cerignola 0
FC Messina 2
Cittanovese 0
Marsala 0
AS Acireale 2
Foggia 3
Vastogirardi 1
Turris 2
Sorrento 1
1/16-finals
Ciliverghe Mazzano 1
Folgore Caratese 2
Seregno Calcio 2
Crema 1
Union Feltre 2
Villafranca 0
Campodarsego 2
Adriese 1
Grassina 1
San Donato Tavarnelle 3
Seravezza Pozzi 2
FC Ponsacco 0
Inveruno 3
Brusaporto 2
AC Chieri 0
Sanremese 3
Pineto 1
Ostiamare 0
Sassari Torres 3
Aprilia 0
US Tolentino 2
Montegiorgio 0
Mezzolara 2
Savignanese 1
Portici 1906 0
A.C. Savoia 2
Citta di Fasano 3
Taranto 2
FC Messina 0
AS Acireale 2
Foggia 3
Turris 1
1/8-finals
Folgore Caratese 3
Seregno Calcio 2
Union Feltre 3
Campodarsego 0
San Donato Tavarnelle 2
Seravezza Pozzi 3
Inveruno 2
Sanremese 3
Pineto 4
Sassari Torres 3
US Tolentino 4
Mezzolara 2
A.C. Savoia 0
Citta di Fasano 1
AS Acireale 0
Foggia 3
Quarter-finals
Folgore Caratese 2
Union Feltre 1
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Sanremese 2
Pineto 1
US Tolentino 2
Citta di Fasano 2
Foggia 1
Semi-finals
Folgore Caratese 6
Sanremese 0
US Tolentino 1
Citta di Fasano 5
Final
Folgore Caratese -
Citta di Fasano -
