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Mfalme vs Muranga

Kenya Kenya

FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kanyere A.
20' Event
Ochieng F.
55' Event
Arok P.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. This leg finished 5-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mfalme
25%
Draws
35%
Muranga
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Mfalme

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Muranga have won more games recently than Mfalme.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Muranga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mfalme, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Mfalme Clean Sheet 10%
Muranga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mfalme Muranga
Matches Played 2 30
Wins 1 12
Draws 0 8
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 3.5 1.3
Goals Conceded 3 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Mfalme vs Muranga
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mfalme Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanyere A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arok P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Muranga Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mfalme 29 / 100
Muranga 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mfalme Muranga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mfalme Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mfalme's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Muranga has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Mfalme remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mfalme VS Muranga
3.5 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mfalme

(Home)
02 May
Bandari
5 : 2
Mfalme
11 Apr
Mfalme
5 : 1
Muranga

Muranga

(Away)
31 May
Muranga
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2
Muranga
17 May
Muranga
1 : 3
Mahia
10 May
Muranga
1 : 0
Kakamega Homeboyz
06 May
Police FC
2 : 1
Muranga
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kakamega Homeboyz 0
Ulinzi Stars 1
Tusker 1
Kariobangi Sharks 0
Posta Rangers 0
Nairobi United 2
KCB 3
Chebaiywa Lions 0
KUTA Collection 0
Shabana 1
Police FC 1
BB Bread 0
3K FC 0
Bandari 2
Mfalme 5
Muranga 1
Quarter-finals
Ulinzi Stars 1
Tusker 2
Nairobi United 0
KCB 1
Shabana 0
Police FC 1
Bandari 5
Mfalme 2
Semi-finals
Tusker 1
KCB 0
Police FC 1
Bandari 0
Final
Tusker 2
Police FC 1
KCB 0
Bandari 2