Sport Picks

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MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Bukovyna

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhia
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Voytikhovskiy M.
24'
Bayda N.
26'
Sub
Zelinskyi D. In: Mokrytskyi V.
Out: Zelinskyi D.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya and Bukovyna finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bukovyna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
17%
Draws
70%
Bukovyna
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Bukovyna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Bukovyna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bukovyna a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bukovyna have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 10%
Bukovyna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Bukovyna
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 27
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 3
Goals Scored 0.29 2.75
Goals Conceded 2 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.29 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Bukovyna
0:4
Nov 8, 2025 Persha Liga
Bukovyna vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
3:0
May 25, 2024 Persha Liga
Bukovyna vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
2:0
Apr 20, 2024 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Bukovyna
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.22
Avg xA / game 0.14

Bukovyna Compare

Top Goalscorer Voytikhovskiy M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koltsov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 14 / 100
Bukovyna 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Bukovyna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Bukovyna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 34 matches.

Attacking prowess: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya VS Bukovyna
0.29 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

(Home)
02 Jun
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 4
Bukovyna
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0
FC Chernihiv
22 May
Livyi Bereg
4 : 0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
10 May
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
04 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 3
Victoria
Page 1 of 6

Bukovyna

(Away)
22 Jul
Bukovyna
2 : 1
Rukh Lviv
18 Jul
Nyiregyhaza
2 : 2
Bukovyna
15 Jul
Kisvarda FC
0 : 1
Bukovyna
14 Jul
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
11 Jul
Michalovce
1 : 1
Bukovyna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna30263174:2181
2Ch. Odesa30198344:2065
3Livyi Bereg30196550:2163
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk30165936:2853
5Inhulets301210841:3246
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)309101133:3337
7Metalist Kharkiv301071331:3537
8Probiy Horodenka301061429:3736
9Fenix Mariupol30991231:3236
10Victoria301061437:3836
11UCSA301061430:4036
12Nyva Ternopil308101224:3434
13FC Chernihiv30871530:3631
14Vorskla Poltava30791423:3630
15FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi30491720:4521
16MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya30471916:6119
17Minaj00000:00
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)