Sport Picks
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Ch. Odesa
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhia 
Match Events
45'
45'
Khoma A.
46'
46'
Sub
Nekhtiy V. In: Irodovskyi D.
Out: Nekhtiy V.
74'
74'
Sub
Sitalo A. In: Lisnyak R.
Out: Sitalo A.
AI Match Summary
The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya and Ch. Odesa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ch. Odesa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ch. Odesa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ch. Odesa come out ahead of MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya on wins alone.
- Model gives Ch. Odesa a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Ch. Odesa here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 10%
Ch. Odesa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | Ch. Odesa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.43 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.86 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.43 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.86 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Ch. Odesa
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Persha Liga
Ch. Odesa vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
3:0
Aug 13, 2020 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Ch. Odesa
1:4
Oct 26, 2019 Persha Liga
Ch. Odesa vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare
Avg xG / game 0.33
Avg xA / game 0.21
Ch. Odesa Compare
Top Goalscorer Khoma A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 10 / 100
Ch. Odesa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Ch. Odesa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CH. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Ch. Odesa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.
Solid form: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya VS Ch. Odesa
0.43 Goals Scored 1.5
2.86 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
(Home) 02 Jun
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 4 Bukovyna
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
22 May
Livyi Bereg
4 : 0 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
10 May
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
04 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 3 Victoria
Page 1 of 6
02 Jun
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 4 Bukovyna
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
04 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 3 Victoria
19 Apr
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 6 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
03 Apr
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 1 Ch. Odesa
Page 1 of 3
Ch. Odesa
(Away) 18 Jul
Ch. Odesa
2 : 1 Nyva Vinnytsya
10 Jul
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0 Inhulets
04 Jul
Oleksandriya
2 : 0 Ch. Odesa
01 Jul
Ch. Odesa
2 : 1 Kryvbas
01 Jun
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Oleksandriya
2 : 0 Ch. Odesa
23 May
Bukovyna
1 : 3 Ch. Odesa
09 May
FC Chernihiv
2 : 2 Ch. Odesa
26 Apr
Victoria
4 : 0 Ch. Odesa
12 Apr
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 2 Ch. Odesa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)