Sport Picks
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs FC Chernihiv
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhia 
Match Events
64'
64'
Bandurin A.
75'
75'
Sub
Bezborodko D. In: Serdyuk M.
Out: Bezborodko D.
75'
75'
Sub
Bybik A. In: Myronenko D.
Out: Bybik A.
AI Match Summary
The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya and FC Chernihiv finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Chernihiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FC Chernihiv come out ahead of MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya on wins alone.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on FC Chernihiv taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 15%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | FC Chernihiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 19 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.29 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.29 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 29, 2026 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs FC Chernihiv
0:0
Dec 15, 2025 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1:1
Jun 12, 2025 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs FC Chernihiv
0:2
Jun 8, 2025 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
3:0
Oct 29, 2023 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 19 / 100
FC Chernihiv 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya FC Chernihiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Chernihiv let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
FC Chernihiv lost 3 of their last 5 games.
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya VS FC Chernihiv
0.29 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
(Home) 02 Jun
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 4 Bukovyna
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
22 May
Livyi Bereg
4 : 0 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
10 May
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
04 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 3 Victoria
Page 1 of 6
02 Jun
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 4 Bukovyna
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
04 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 3 Victoria
19 Apr
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 6 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
03 Apr
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 1 Ch. Odesa
Page 1 of 3
FC Chernihiv
(Away) 25 Jul
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 1 FC Chernihiv
18 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 1 FC Chernihiv
15 Jul
Obolon
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
01 Jun
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0 FC Chernihiv
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 1 FC Chernihiv
18 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 1 FC Chernihiv
15 Jul
Obolon
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
01 Jun
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0 FC Chernihiv
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)
