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MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Penuel Kryvyi Rih - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhia
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Sitalo A.
40' Event
Bokulev B.
82' Event
Bayruk N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Druha Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
15%
Draws
12%
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya lately — more wins on the board than Penuel Kryvyi Rih.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 20%
Penuel Kryvyi Rih Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.76 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Druha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Penuel Kryvyi Rih
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare

Top Goalscorer Sitalo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Slyusar D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Penuel Kryvyi Rih Compare

Top Goalscorer Bokulev B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bayruk N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 85 / 100
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Penuel Kryvyi Rih

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Penuel Kryvyi Rih conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Penuel Kryvyi Rih's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya VS Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

(Home)
09 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 0
SC Poltava 2
04 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2
Karbon Cherkasy
27 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 3
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
20 Sept
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2
Lozova
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Page 1 of 6

Penuel Kryvyi Rih

(Away)
02 Oct
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 1
Atlet Kiev
26 Sept
Lozova
1 : 0
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
21 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 3
Trostyanets
06 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 3
Rebel Kyiv
30 Aug
Oleksandriya 2
3 : 0
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 9 7 2 0 25:8 23
2 Nyva Vinnytsya 8 4 3 1 14:8 15
3 Dnister Zalishchyky 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
4 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
5 FC Vilkhivtsi 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
6 Nyva Ternopil 2 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
7 Skala 1911 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 8 1 4 3 12:18 7
9 Rukh Lviv 8 1 0 7 13:16 3
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karbon Cherkasy 8 4 3 1 13:9 15
2 Lozova 8 4 1 3 9:9 13
3 Atlet Kiev 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
4 SC Poltava 2 9 3 2 4 5:7 11
5 Rebel Kyiv 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
6 Oleksandriya 2 8 2 4 2 8:7 10
7 Trostyanets 7 2 4 1 8:5 10
8 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)