Sport Picks

Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhia

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

0 - 3

UCSA

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Sydorenko D.

26'

Sub

Bruno Jesus In: Wendell

Out: Bruno Jesus

38'

Tovkach A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya and UCSA finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UCSA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

33%

Draws

40%

UCSA

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: UCSA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

UCSA carry the better recent record into this one.
40% — that's where the model lands on UCSA taking it.
Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 15%

UCSA Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya	UCSA
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	5	11
Draws	6	5
Losses	19	13
Goals Scored	0.5	0.88
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Persha Liga

UCSA vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

1:3

Sep 7, 2025 Persha Liga

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs UCSA

0:3

Nov 17, 2024 Persha Liga

UCSA vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

2:2

Sep 21, 2024 Persha Liga

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs UCSA

1:2

Jun 8, 2024 Persha Liga

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs UCSA

0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

UCSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendell

1 Goals

Assists Leader Icaro

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 27 / 100

UCSA 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya UCSA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: UCSA conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

UCSA's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya VS UCSA

0.5 Goals Scored 0.88

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88

63% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

(Home)

02 Jun

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

0 : 4

Bukovyna

29 May

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

0 : 0

FC Chernihiv

22 May

Livyi Bereg

4 : 0

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

10 May

Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)

0 : 1

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

04 May

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

0 : 3

Victoria

Page 1 of 6

UCSA

(Away)

10 Jul

Obolon

0 : 0

UCSA

04 Jul

Veres Rivne

3 : 0

UCSA

01 Jun

UCSA

3 : 0

Nyva Ternopil

23 May

Metalist Kharkiv

2 : 0

UCSA

15 May

UCSA

0 : 5

Bukovyna

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bukovyna	30	26	3	1	74:21	81
2	Ch. Odesa	30	19	8	3	44:20	65
3	Livyi Bereg	30	19	6	5	50:21	63
4	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	30	16	5	9	36:28	53
5	Inhulets	30	12	10	8	41:32	46
6	Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)	30	9	10	11	33:33	37
7	Metalist Kharkiv	30	10	7	13	31:35	37
8	Probiy Horodenka	30	10	6	14	29:37	36
9	Fenix Mariupol	30	9	9	12	31:32	36
10	Victoria	30	10	6	14	37:38	36
11	UCSA	30	10	6	14	30:40	36
12	Nyva Ternopil	30	8	10	12	24:34	34
13	FC Chernihiv	30	8	7	15	30:36	31
14	Vorskla Poltava	30	7	9	14	23:36	30
15	FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi	30	4	9	17	20:45	21
16	MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya	30	4	7	19	16:61	19
17	Minaj	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

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