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MFK Karvina vs Michalovce

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Lemishko L.
46'
Sub
Zubairu A. In: Mihhailov N.
Out: Zubairu A.
46'
Sub
Curma M. In: Pauschek L.
Out: Curma M.

AI Match Summary

MFK Karvina in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored MFK Karvina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
MFK Karvina
33%
Draws
27%
Michalovce
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: MFK Karvina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Michalovce haven't matched MFK Karvina's recent run of results.
  • MFK Karvina are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
MFK Karvina Clean Sheet 16%
Michalovce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MFK Karvina Michalovce
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Club Friendly
MFK Karvina vs Michalovce
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MFK Karvina Compare

Top Goalscorer Samko D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Strnad M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Michalovce Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemishko L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFK Karvina 39 / 100
Michalovce 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MFK Karvina Michalovce

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Michalovce let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: MFK Karvina scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: MFK Karvina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MFK Karvina VS Michalovce
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%