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MFK Karvina vs Ruch Chorzow Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Laskowski F.
75' Event
Pawlowski M.
Own Goal
83' Event
Samko D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between MFK Karvina and Ruch Chorzow finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MFK Karvina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
MFK Karvina
20%
Draws
46%
Ruch Chorzow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ruch Chorzow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ruch Chorzow haven't matched MFK Karvina's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
MFK Karvina Clean Sheet 18%
Ruch Chorzow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MFK Karvina Ruch Chorzow
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 1 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.78 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
MFK Karvina vs Ruch Chorzow
2:1
Jul 22, 2017 Club Friendly
MFK Karvina vs Ruch Chorzow
3:1
Jan 14, 2017 Club Friendly
Ruch Chorzow vs MFK Karvina
0:1
Jan 10, 2015 Club Friendly
Ruch Chorzow vs MFK Karvina
3:1
Jul 9, 2013 Club Friendly
Ruch Chorzow vs MFK Karvina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MFK Karvina Compare

Top Goalscorer Samko D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Ruch Chorzow Compare

Top Goalscorer Laskowski F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFK Karvina 32 / 100
Ruch Chorzow 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MFK Karvina Ruch Chorzow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MFK Karvina found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Ruch Chorzow let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

MFK Karvina has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

MFK Karvina VS Ruch Chorzow
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MFK Karvina

(Home)
18 Sept
MFK Karvina
3 : 2
Kromeriz
11 Sept
Trinec
3 : 2
MFK Karvina
04 Sept
MFK Karvina
2 : 0
SK Kladno
29 Aug
Pribram
2 : 1
MFK Karvina
26 Aug
FK Kozlovice
2 : 1
MFK Karvina
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Ruch Chorzow

(Away)
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
12 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 3
Podbeskidzie
07 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
02 Sept
Zielona Gora
0 : 2
Ruch Chorzow
30 Aug
Chrobry Glogow
2 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
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