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MFK Kravare vs Pusta Polom Prediction & H2H Stats

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group F
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MFK Kravare host Pusta Polom in the 4. liga - Group F. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. MFK Kravare have averaged 2.17 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Pusta Polom's 1.14 scored and 1.66 conceded. Past meetings favor Pusta Polom slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2024, ending 1:1. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.88) point toward MFK Kravare. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
MFK Kravare
15%
Draws
32%
Pusta Polom
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MFK Kravare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MFK Kravare come out ahead of Pusta Polom on wins alone.
  • Model gives MFK Kravare a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
MFK Kravare Clean Sheet 10%
Pusta Polom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MFK Kravare Pusta Polom
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.17 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Moravskoslezsky KP
MFK Kravare vs Pusta Polom
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Moravskoslezsky KP
Pusta Polom vs MFK Kravare
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFK Kravare 83 / 100
Pusta Polom 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MFK Kravare Pusta Polom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MFK Kravare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: MFK Kravare scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Pusta Polom let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

MFK Kravare has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

MFK Kravare VS Pusta Polom
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

MFK Kravare

(Home)
27 Sept
Bilovec
0 : 2
MFK Kravare
20 Sept
MFK Kravare
2 : 2
Bridlicna
13 Sept
Bohumin
5 : 1
MFK Kravare
06 Sept
MFK Kravare
1 : 0
Zabreh
29 Aug
Opava B
0 : 3
MFK Kravare
Page 1 of 6

Pusta Polom

(Away)
27 Sept
Pusta Polom
3 : 2
Novy Jicin
18 Sept
Hlucin
4 : 1
Pusta Polom
13 Sept
Bilovec
1 : 0
Pusta Polom
06 Sept
Pusta Polom
1 : 0
Bridlicna
30 Aug
Bohumin
4 : 1
Pusta Polom
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bohumin 8 7 0 1 29:10 21
2 MFK Kravare 8 6 1 1 21:11 19
3 Hlucin 8 6 0 2 19:11 18
4 Vratimov FC 8 6 0 2 17:11 18
5 Rymarov 8 4 2 2 20:12 14
6 Stonava 8 4 2 2 16:11 14
7 Opava B 8 4 1 3 18:15 13
8 Novy Jicin 8 4 1 3 17:16 13
9 Zabreh 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
10 Pusta Polom 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
11 Valasske Mezirici 8 2 3 3 18:17 9
12 Sumperk 8 2 1 5 11:14 7
13 Bridlicna 8 2 1 5 11:19 7
14 Frydek-Mistek B 8 2 0 6 14:20 6
15 Bilovec 8 1 1 6 4:17 4
16 Frydlant n. Ost. 8 0 0 8 7:34 0
Promotion - 3. MSFL 2027/2028 (Main)