Sport Picks

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MFK Mykolaiv vs Fenix Mariupol

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2021/2022
Sat, Apr 9, 2022
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MFK Mykolaiv host Fenix Mariupol in the Druha Liga 2021/2022. This has Fenix Mariupol written all over it on paper. Fenix Mariupol have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while MFK Mykolaiv have conceded 0 and scored 0. Head-to-head, MFK Mykolaiv have won 0 to Fenix Mariupol's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2022, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 1.36, favoring Fenix Mariupol. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
MFK Mykolaiv
22%
Draws
60%
Fenix Mariupol
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fenix Mariupol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fenix Mariupol lately — more wins on the board than MFK Mykolaiv.
  • Win probability leans Fenix Mariupol's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Druha Liga 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
MFK Mykolaiv Clean Sheet 18%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MFK Mykolaiv Fenix Mariupol
Matches Played 2 28
Wins 0 9
Draws 1 9
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 Druha Liga
MFK Mykolaiv vs Fenix Mariupol
0:0
Sep 11, 2021 Druha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs MFK Mykolaiv
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFK Mykolaiv 20 / 100
Fenix Mariupol 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MFK Mykolaiv Fenix Mariupol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenix Mariupol let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

MFK Mykolaiv scored in 50% of their last 2 games.

Solid form: MFK Mykolaiv remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fenix Mariupol
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MFK Mykolaiv

(Home)
28 Jul
Karpaty Lviv
5 : 0
MFK Mykolaiv
06 Nov
MFK Mykolaiv
1 : 1
Real Pharma Odesa

Fenix Mariupol

(Away)
02 Jul
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
27 Jun
Veres Rivne
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
01 Jun
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 0
Victoria
23 May
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0 : 0
Fenix Mariupol
17 May
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Probiy Horodenka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Karpaty Lviv18160246:748
2Livyi Bereg19151347:1446
3LNZ Cherkasy17132236:941
4Dinaz Vyshgorod19131533:1840
5Epitsentr19121630:1937
6Munkacs Mukacheve1985625:2429
7Karpaty Halych1874723:2325
8Nyva Vinnytsya1774629:2025
9Bukovyna1865720:1723
10FC Chernihiv1855817:2420
11Dnipro Cherkasy18521124:3217
12Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka19361016:4015
13Rubikon Kyiv19421312:3814
14AFSC Kyiv1915138:388
15Liubomyr Stavyshche1911178:514
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya19136034:745
2Skoruk Tomakovka20125333:1441
3FK Balkany20109134:1439
4Peremoga Dnipro20123534:1439
5Tavriya1996428:1933
6SC Poltava2094729:2731
7Trostyanets1994634:2931
8MFK Mykolaiv1786335:2430
9FC Vovchansk2076727:2527
10Victoria1983822:2327
11Fenix Mariupol2066836:2924
12FC Nikopol20551022:4220
13Nova Kakhovka20521320:4017
14Real Pharma Odesa20421422:4914
15Krystal20231519:369
16FC Sumy19121616:535
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)