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MFK Mykolaiv vs Kryvbas Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup 2021/2022
Wed, Aug 18, 2021
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Govedarica M.
75' Event
Kravchenko S.
1' Event
Roslyakov V.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

MFK Mykolaiv in this Ukrainian Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
MFK Mykolaiv
25%
Draws
35%
Kryvbas
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: MFK Mykolaiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kryvbas lately — more wins on the board than MFK Mykolaiv.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Kryvbas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kryvbas, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
MFK Mykolaiv Clean Sheet 17%
Kryvbas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MFK Mykolaiv Kryvbas
Matches Played 2 29
Wins 0 11
Draws 1 6
Losses 1 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.59
Goals Conceded 3 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2021 Persha Liga
MFK Mykolaiv vs Kryvbas
0:0
Aug 18, 2021 Ukrainian Cup
MFK Mykolaiv vs Kryvbas
2:1
Aug 14, 2021 Persha Liga
Kryvbas vs MFK Mykolaiv
0:0
Apr 29, 2016 Persha Liga
MFK Mykolaiv vs Kryvbas
0:3
Sep 19, 2015 Persha Liga
Kryvbas vs MFK Mykolaiv
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MFK Mykolaiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Kravchenko S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Kryvbas Compare

Top Goalscorer Govedarica M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFK Mykolaiv 31 / 100
Kryvbas 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MFK Mykolaiv Kryvbas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kryvbas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Kryvbas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

MFK Mykolaiv's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kryvbas
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MFK Mykolaiv

(Home)
28 Jul
Karpaty Lviv
5 : 0
MFK Mykolaiv
06 Nov
MFK Mykolaiv
1 : 1
Real Pharma Odesa

Kryvbas

(Away)
02 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 0
Kryvbas
18 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Kryvbas
08 Sept
Olympia Savyntsi
0 : 2
Kryvbas
05 Sept
Kryvbas
2 : 2
Kolos Kovalivka
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Kryvbas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
LNZ Cherkasy -
TBD -
TBD -
Kremin -
Livyi Bereg 1
SC Poltava 0
TBD -
Olimpik Donetsk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inhulets -
FK Balkany -
TBD -
TBD -
Nova Kakhovka -
Real Pharma Odesa -
TBD -
TBD -
VPK-Agro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Dnipro-1 -
Dinaz Vyshgorod -
TBD -
Obolon -
TBD -
Rubikon Kyiv -
TBD -
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Veres Rivne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vorskla Poltava -
Epitsentr -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi -
FC Uzhhorod -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyva Ternopil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Kharkiv -
FC Nikopol -
TBD -
TBD -
Krystal -
TBD -
Tavriya -
TBD -
Dnipro Cherkasy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oleksandriya -
Karpaty Lviv 3
AFSC Kyiv 0
TBD -
Karpaty Halych -
Nyva Vinnytsya -
TBD -
TBD -
Volyn Lutsk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Mariupol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Skoruk Tomakovka 1
Trostyanets 0
TBD -
Victoria -
Fenix Mariupol -
TBD -
TBD -
Metalist Kharkiv -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Desna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kolos Kovalivka -
MFK Mykolaiv -
TBD -
TBD -
Kryvbas -
Olympia Savyntsi 6
Liubomyr Stavyshche 0
TBD -
FC Vovchansk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rukh Lviv -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zorya -
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka -
TBD -
FC Chernihiv -
TBD -
TBD -
Alliance Lipova Dolina -
TBD -
Kramatorsk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minaj -
FC Sumy -
TBD -
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya -
TBD -
Peremoga Dnipro -
TBD -
TBD -
Hirnyk-Sport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lviv -
Bukovyna -
TBD -
TBD -
Ahrobiznes Volochysk -
Feniks Pidmonastyr 2
Munkacs Mukacheve 0
TBD -
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ch. Odesa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shakhtar -
1/64-finals
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Kremin 0
Livyi Bereg 2
Olimpik Donetsk 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inhulets -
FK Balkany 4
Nova Kakhovka 2
Real Pharma Odesa 0
VPK-Agro 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Dnipro-1 -
Dinaz Vyshgorod 1
Obolon 3
Rubikon Kyiv 0
Polissya Zhytomyr 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Veres Rivne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vorskla Poltava -
Epitsentr 3
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 0
FC Uzhhorod 0
Nyva Ternopil 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Kharkiv -
FC Nikopol 2
Krystal 0
Tavriya 3
Dnipro Cherkasy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oleksandriya -
Karpaty Lviv 1
Karpaty Halych 0
Nyva Vinnytsya 1
Volyn Lutsk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Mariupol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Skoruk Tomakovka 4
Victoria 2
Fenix Mariupol 1
Metalist Kharkiv 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Desna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kolos Kovalivka -
MFK Mykolaiv 2
Kryvbas 1
Olympia Savyntsi 0
FC Vovchansk 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rukh Lviv -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zorya -
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 1
FC Chernihiv 2
Alliance Lipova Dolina 2
Kramatorsk 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minaj -
FC Sumy 0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Peremoga Dnipro 1
Hirnyk-Sport 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lviv -
Bukovyna 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 0
Feniks Pidmonastyr 2
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ch. Odesa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shakhtar -
1/32-finals
LNZ Cherkasy 2
Olimpik Donetsk 1
TBD -
Inhulets -
FK Balkany 1
VPK-Agro 3
TBD -
SK Dnipro-1 -
Obolon 1
Polissya Zhytomyr 0
TBD -
Veres Rivne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vorskla Poltava -
Epitsentr 1
Nyva Ternopil 0
TBD -
FC Kharkiv -
FC Nikopol 0
Tavriya 3
TBD -
Oleksandriya -
Karpaty Lviv 2
Volyn Lutsk 3
TBD -
FC Mariupol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Skoruk Tomakovka 0
Metalist Kharkiv 3
TBD -
Desna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kolos Kovalivka -
MFK Mykolaiv 4
FC Vovchansk 1
TBD -
Rukh Lviv -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zorya -
FC Chernihiv 1
Alliance Lipova Dolina 5
TBD -
Minaj -
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 2
Hirnyk-Sport 3
TBD -
Lviv -
Bukovyna 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 2
TBD -
Ch. Odesa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shakhtar -
1/16-finals
LNZ Cherkasy 2
Inhulets 1
VPK-Agro 1
SK Dnipro-1 2
Obolon 0
Veres Rivne 1
TBD -
Vorskla Poltava -
Epitsentr 0
FC Kharkiv 1
Tavriya 1
Oleksandriya 3
Volyn Lutsk 0
FC Mariupol 1
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Metalist Kharkiv 2
Desna 1
TBD -
Kolos Kovalivka -
MFK Mykolaiv 0
Rukh Lviv 3
TBD -
Zorya -
Alliance Lipova Dolina 3
Minaj 2
Hirnyk-Sport 0
Lviv 2
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 1
Ch. Odesa 4
TBD -
Shakhtar -
1/8-finals
LNZ Cherkasy 0
SK Dnipro-1 2
Veres Rivne 1
Vorskla Poltava 3
FC Kharkiv 2
Oleksandriya 5
FC Mariupol 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Kolos Kovalivka 0
Rukh Lviv 0
Zorya 2
Alliance Lipova Dolina 1
Lviv 2
Ch. Odesa 0
Shakhtar 3
Quarter-finals
SK Dnipro-1 -
Vorskla Poltava -
Oleksandriya -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Metalist Kharkiv -
Zorya -
Lviv -
Shakhtar -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -