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Mglebi Zugdidi vs Dinamo Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Umaglesi Liga 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Umaglesi Liga 2008/2009 game between Mglebi Zugdidi and Dinamo Tbilisi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dinamo Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mglebi Zugdidi
33%
Draws
40%
Dinamo Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dinamo Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dinamo Tbilisi come out ahead of Mglebi Zugdidi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Dinamo Tbilisi's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Umaglesi Liga 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dinamo Tbilisi have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mglebi Zugdidi Clean Sheet 19%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mglebi Zugdidi Dinamo Tbilisi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Mglebi Zugdidi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
1:0
Mar 1, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Mglebi Zugdidi
2:1
Nov 8, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Mglebi Zugdidi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
0:1
Mar 30, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Mglebi Zugdidi
1:0
Sep 21, 2007 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Mglebi Zugdidi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mglebi Zugdidi 28 / 100
Dinamo Tbilisi 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mglebi Zugdidi Dinamo Tbilisi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mglebi Zugdidi found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Dinamo Tbilisi conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Mglebi Zugdidi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dinamo Tbilisi
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1WIT Georgia30209157:1969
2Dinamo Tbilisi30196570:2163
3Metalurgi Rustavi30169540:2057
4FC Zestaponi301641043:2752
5Bolnisi301111835:2944
6Locomotive Tbilisi301081235:3338
7Mglebi Zugdidi301061436:4136
8Meskheti30781523:4229
9Gagra30771623:4828
10Tskhinvali30671728:4625
11Borjomi30272121:8513