Sport Picks

Georgia

Umaglesi Liga 2008/2009

Mglebi Zugdidi

1 - 0

Gagra

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Umaglesi Liga 2008/2009 game between Mglebi Zugdidi and Gagra finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mglebi Zugdidi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Mglebi Zugdidi

22%

Draws

60%

Gagra

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gagra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Gagra come out ahead of Mglebi Zugdidi on wins alone.
Win probability leans Gagra's way, sitting at 60%.
Regular Umaglesi Liga 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Mglebi Zugdidi Clean Sheet 20%

Gagra Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mglebi Zugdidi	Gagra
Matches Played	32	39
Wins	12	13
Draws	6	13
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	0	1
Goals Conceded	0	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga

Gagra vs Mglebi Zugdidi

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 2 - 4

2:2

Dec 6, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga

Mglebi Zugdidi vs Gagra

Possession: 56% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Sep 26, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga

Gagra vs Mglebi Zugdidi

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 4 - 4

2:0

May 23, 2007 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Gagra vs Mglebi Zugdidi

Possession: 40% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Nov 27, 2006 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Mglebi Zugdidi vs Gagra

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mglebi Zugdidi 20 / 100

Gagra 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mglebi Zugdidi Gagra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gagra conceded in 82% of 39 recent games.

Mglebi Zugdidi scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Mglebi Zugdidi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gagra

0 Goals Scored 1

0 Goals Conceded 1.38

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	WIT Georgia	30	20	9	1	57:19	69
2	Dinamo Tbilisi	30	19	6	5	70:21	63
3	Metalurgi Rustavi	30	16	9	5	40:20	57
4	FC Zestaponi	30	16	4	10	43:27	52
5	Bolnisi	30	11	11	8	35:29	44
6	Locomotive Tbilisi	30	10	8	12	35:33	38
7	Mglebi Zugdidi	30	10	6	14	36:41	36
8	Meskheti	30	7	8	15	23:42	29
9	Gagra	30	7	7	16	23:48	28
10	Tskhinvali	30	6	7	17	28:46	25
11	Borjomi	30	2	7	21	21:85	13