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Miajadas vs Chinato Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2011/2012 game between Miajadas and Chinato finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Miajadas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Miajadas
20%
Draws
64%
Chinato
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chinato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Miajadas come out ahead of Chinato on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Miajadas Clean Sheet 20%
Chinato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miajadas Chinato
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 0.82 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Chinato
1:0
Dec 18, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Chinato vs Miajadas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miajadas 32 / 100
Chinato 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miajadas Chinato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chinato Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chinato's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Chinato lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Miajadas scored in 48% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Miajadas VS Chinato
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Miajadas

(Home)
23 Apr
CD Calamonte
4 : 0
Miajadas
16 Apr
Miajadas
0 : 4
Jerez CF
05 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 0
Miajadas
01 Apr
UP Plasencia
1 : 1
Miajadas
26 Mar
Miajadas
0 : 1
Moralo
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Chinato

(Away)
20 Aug
Jaraiz
4 : 0
Chinato
30 May
AD Llerenense
5 : 2
Chinato
23 May
Chinato
4 : 1
Fuente de Cantos
16 May
Olivenza FC
1 : 0
Chinato
09 May
Chinato
0 : 0
RCP Valverdeno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arroyo 38 30 5 3 100:22 95
2 Diter Zafra 38 25 6 7 63:38 81
3 Extremadura UD 38 23 9 6 75:23 78
4 Don Benito 38 23 9 6 63:29 78
5 Jerez CF 38 20 9 9 56:34 69
6 Miajadas 38 15 11 12 52:52 56
7 UD Badajoz 38 14 11 13 53:49 53
8 Merida UD 38 14 11 13 42:43 53
9 CD Coria 38 13 11 14 49:55 50
10 UP Plasencia 38 12 9 17 41:62 45
11 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 10 15 13 45:46 45
12 Valdelacalzada 38 10 15 13 31:42 45
13 Santa Amalia 38 11 11 16 53:67 44
14 Hernan Cortes 38 10 12 16 28:39 42
15 Pueblonuevo 38 11 8 19 59:83 41
16 Moralo 38 10 10 18 32:43 40
17 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 10 9 19 60:67 39
18 Sanvicenteno 38 9 9 20 45:77 36
19 SP Villafranca 38 6 11 21 45:74 29
20 Chinato 38 3 11 24 27:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)