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Miajadas vs Emerita Augusta Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 game between Miajadas and Emerita Augusta finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Miajadas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Miajadas
15%
Draws
73%
Emerita Augusta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Emerita Augusta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Emerita Augusta's 1.23 goals per match outpaces what Miajadas have produced (0.81).
  • Model gives Emerita Augusta a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Miajadas Clean Sheet 20%
Emerita Augusta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miajadas Emerita Augusta
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0.81 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Emerita Augusta vs Miajadas
2:2
Sep 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Emerita Augusta
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miajadas 10 / 100
Emerita Augusta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miajadas Emerita Augusta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Emerita Augusta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Emerita Augusta conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Difficult form: Emerita Augusta registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Miajadas's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Miajadas VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Miajadas

(Home)
23 Apr
CD Calamonte
4 : 0
Miajadas
16 Apr
Miajadas
0 : 4
Jerez CF
05 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 0
Miajadas
01 Apr
UP Plasencia
1 : 1
Miajadas
26 Mar
Miajadas
0 : 1
Moralo
Page 1 of 7

Emerita Augusta

(Away)
19 May
Fuente de Cantos
2 : 0
Emerita Augusta
12 May
Emerita Augusta
5 : 4
Cacereno II
05 May
UP Plasencia
0 : 1
Emerita Augusta
28 Apr
Emerita Augusta
0 : 1
Merida UD
21 Apr
Don Benito
2 : 0
Emerita Augusta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Extremadura UD 38 27 8 3 75:14 89
2 UD Badajoz 38 24 8 6 67:24 80
3 Don Benito 38 23 10 5 55:23 79
4 Diter Zafra 38 22 11 5 57:23 77
5 Jerez CF 38 16 11 11 51:37 59
6 Merida UD 38 15 11 12 47:38 56
7 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 15 10 13 50:38 55
8 UP Plasencia 38 15 10 13 55:47 55
9 Santa Amalia 38 15 8 15 52:54 53
10 CD Coria 38 14 9 15 47:48 51
11 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 14 6 18 44:58 48
12 Pueblonuevo 38 11 10 17 41:60 43
13 Miajadas 38 12 7 19 40:56 43
14 RCP Valverdeno 38 11 9 18 40:56 42
15 Hernan Cortes 38 11 8 19 36:64 41
16 Cacereno II 38 10 10 18 48:57 40
17 Fuente de Cantos 38 10 9 19 42:68 39
18 Moralo 38 7 17 14 33:52 38
19 Emerita Augusta 38 8 7 23 44:77 31
20 Valdelacalzada 38 7 7 24 35:65 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)