Sport Picks
Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion
USA
USL Championship Riccardo Silva Stadium, Miami, FL 
Match Events
29'
29'
Sub
Pasher T. In: Brown N.
Out: Pasher T.
41'
41'
Rocha A.
58'
58'
Sub
McCartney D. In: Vassell P.
Out: McCartney D.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Miami FC and Birmingham Legion finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Miami FC come out ahead of Birmingham Legion on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Miami FC Clean Sheet 18%
Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Miami FC | Birmingham Legion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion
1:1
May 8, 2026 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Miami FC
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Miami FC
2:3
May 24, 2025 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Miami FC
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Miami FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Rocha A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Birmingham Legion Compare
Top Goalscorer Vassell P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Miami FC 32 / 100
Birmingham Legion 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Miami FC Birmingham Legion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Miami FC's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Birmingham Legion let in goals in 77% of their last 26 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Miami FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Miami FC VS Birmingham Legion
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Miami FC
(Home) 25 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 3 Tampa Bay
23 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 0 Miami FC
15 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 0 Indy Eleven
11 Jul
Sarasota Paradise
0 : 5 Miami FC
05 Jul
Miami FC
1 : 1 Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 3 Tampa Bay
15 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 0 Indy Eleven
05 Jul
Miami FC
1 : 1 Birmingham Legion
24 Jun
Miami FC
2 : 4 Orange County SC
23 May
Miami FC
4 : 3 Louisville City
Page 1 of 3
Birmingham Legion
(Away) 12 Jul
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1 FC Tulsa
05 Jul
Miami FC
1 : 1 Birmingham Legion
03 Jul
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2 Detroit City
21 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 1 Loudoun United
17 Jun
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Miami FC
1 : 1 Birmingham Legion
17 Jun
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Birmingham Legion
24 May
Monterey Bay
2 : 0 Birmingham Legion
16 May
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 2 Birmingham Legion
02 May
Rhode Island
1 : 3 Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 28:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Charleston | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32:24 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Rhode Island | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 21 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 12:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 19:29 | 15 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:27 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23:46 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 31 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 28 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 4 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Lexington | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:20 | 22 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25:27 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17:27 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
