Sport Picks
Miami FC vs Orange County SC
USA
USL Championship Riccardo Silva Stadium, Miami, FL 
Match Events
14'
14'
Milesi A.
35'
35'
Tori R.
38'
38'
Kelly S.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Miami FC and Orange County SC finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orange County SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Miami FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Orange County SC's 1.88 goals per match outpaces what Miami FC have produced (1.75).
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Miami FC taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Miami FC Clean Sheet 68%
Orange County SC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Miami FC | Orange County SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 24, 2026 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Orange County SC
2:4
Mar 24, 2024 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Miami FC
2:2
May 27, 2023 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Orange County SC
0:0
Jul 17, 2022 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Miami FC
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Miami FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Milesi A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ndongo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Orange County SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Bazini Y.
2 Goals Assists Leader Solis E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Miami FC 68 / 100
Orange County SC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Miami FC Orange County SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Miami FC scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Orange County SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Miami FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Miami FC VS Orange County SC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Miami FC
(Home) 25 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 3 Tampa Bay
23 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 0 Miami FC
15 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 0 Indy Eleven
11 Jul
Sarasota Paradise
0 : 5 Miami FC
05 Jul
Miami FC
1 : 1 Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 3 Tampa Bay
15 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 0 Indy Eleven
05 Jul
Miami FC
1 : 1 Birmingham Legion
24 Jun
Miami FC
2 : 4 Orange County SC
23 May
Miami FC
4 : 3 Louisville City
Page 1 of 3
Orange County SC
(Away) 26 Jul
Monterey Bay
1 : 2 Orange County SC
12 Jul
Orange County SC
0 : 3 Colorado Springs
08 Jul
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Orange County SC
04 Jul
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Orange County SC
24 Jun
Miami FC
2 : 4 Orange County SC
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Monterey Bay
1 : 2 Orange County SC
08 Jul
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Orange County SC
04 Jul
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Orange County SC
24 Jun
Miami FC
2 : 4 Orange County SC
21 Jun
Las Vegas Lights
2 : 3 Orange County SC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 28:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Charleston | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32:24 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Rhode Island | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 21 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 12:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 19:29 | 15 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:27 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23:46 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 31 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 28 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 4 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Lexington | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:20 | 22 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25:27 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17:27 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
