Sport Picks
Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Riccardo Silva Stadium, Miami, FL 
Match Events
34'
34'
Arteaga M.
Assist: Pinzon C.
46'
46'
Sub
Romero M. In: Milanes Navarro C. D.
Out: Romero M.
55'
55'
Sub
Scott K. In: Ybarra M.
Out: Scott K.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Miami FC and Las Vegas Lights finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Las Vegas Lights.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Miami FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Las Vegas Lights come out ahead of Miami FC on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Miami FC's way, sitting at 60%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Miami FC Clean Sheet 17%
Las Vegas Lights Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Miami FC | Las Vegas Lights |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Miami FC
0:0
Jun 9, 2024 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Miami FC
3:1
Apr 23, 2023 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights
4:1
Oct 9, 2022 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Miami FC
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Miami FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Las Vegas Lights Compare
Top Goalscorer Arteaga M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Miami FC 57 / 100
Las Vegas Lights 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Miami FC Las Vegas Lights
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Miami FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Miami FC scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Las Vegas Lights has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Miami FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Miami FC VS Las Vegas Lights
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Miami FC
(Home) 10 Oct
Miami FC
0 : 2 Loudoun United
03 Oct
Tampa Bay
1 : 2 Miami FC
30 Sept
Miami FC
4 : 1 Sporting Jax
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2 Miami FC
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2 Miami FC
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Miami FC
0 : 2 Loudoun United
30 Sept
Miami FC
4 : 1 Sporting Jax
06 Sept
Miami FC
2 : 2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
08 Aug
Miami FC
0 : 1 Las Vegas Lights
01 Aug
Miami FC
2 : 2 Detroit City
Page 1 of 3
Las Vegas Lights
(Away) 11 Oct
Phoenix Rising
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0 San Antonio FC
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Phoenix Rising
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
22 Aug
Lexington
2 : 0 Las Vegas Lights
08 Aug
Miami FC
0 : 1 Las Vegas Lights
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34:20 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52:33 | 46 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:42 | 40 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39:30 | 38 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:47 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34:36 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34:44 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 48:36 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:33 | 49 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 38:26 | 45 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 41 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 37:44 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:29 | 39 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:41 | 36 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 39:42 | 36 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33:35 | 35 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 30:50 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
