Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Miami FC vs Miami United

USA USA

US Open Cup 2022 Riccardo Silva Stadium, Miami, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Murphy K.
(Penalty)
18'
Domingues B.
30' Event
Reid A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Miami FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Miami FC
17%
Draws
13%
Miami United
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Miami FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Miami FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Miami FC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Miami FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Miami FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Miami FC Clean Sheet 68%
Miami United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miami FC Miami United
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 0
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2022 US Open Cup
Miami FC vs Miami United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miami FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parkes R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Miami United Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miami FC 77 / 100
Miami United 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miami FC Miami United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miami FC found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Miami United has conceded goals in 78% of their last 18 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Miami FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Miami FC VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Miami FC

(Home)
25 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 3
Tampa Bay
23 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 0
Miami FC
15 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 0
Indy Eleven
11 Jul
Sarasota Paradise
0 : 5
Miami FC
05 Jul
Miami FC
1 : 1
Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 6

Miami United

(Away)
19 Mar
Inter Miami II
4 : 2
Miami United
17 Apr
Memphis 901
2 : 0
Miami United
03 Apr
Miami United
2 : 0
Club de Lyon
19 Mar
Chattanooga
0 : 1
Miami United
23 Mar
Jacksonville Armada U23
2 : 1
Miami United
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Orlando City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tampa Bay-
TBD-
Brave SC6
Orlando FC0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Philadelphia Union-
Miami FC-
TBD-
Miami United3
City Soccer FC1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter Miami-
Birmingham Legion-
TBD-
Southern States SC3
Georgia Revolution1
Charleston-
TBD-
TBD-
South Georgia Tormenta-
Detroit City-
TBD-
TBD-
Michigan Stars-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Columbus Crew-
Louisville City-
TBD-
TBD-
Chattanooga Red Wolves-
Indy Eleven-
TBD-
TBD-
St. Louis City 2-
Nashville SC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Atlanta United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chattanooga-
TBD-
TBD-
Memphis 901-
Flower City Union-
TBD-
Western Pioneers2
Brockton United0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
DC United-
Hartford Athletic-
TBD-
Hartford City FC0
Oyster Bay United3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
New York Red Bulls-
Richmond Kickers-
TBD-
Lynchburg2
Northern Virginia4
Charlotte Independence-
TBD-
South Carolina United Bantams1
North Carolina Fusion U233
Greenville Triumph-
TBD-
TBD-
Oakland Roots-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Charlotte FC-
New York City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rochester New York-
TBD-
Ocean City1
Lansdowne Yonkers2
Motown1
West Chester United0
TBD-
Syracuse Pulse-
New England Revolution-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Cincinnati-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pittsburgh Riverhounds-
TBD-
TBD-
Maryland Bobcats-
Tucson-
TBD-
TBD-
Las Vegas Lights-
California United-
TBD-
San Fernando Valley6
Escondido2
Los Angeles Galaxy-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Albion San Diego-
TBD-
TBD-
San Diego Loyal-
Los Angeles FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Orange County SC-
TBD-
TBD-
LA Force-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Portland Timbers-
Sacramento Republic-
TBD-
Portland (Capital) U232
Contra Costa1
Central Valley Fuego-
TBD-
TBD-
El Paso Locomotive-
Phoenix Rising-
TBD-
TBD-
Valley United-
New Mexico-
TBD-
Las Vegas Legends3
Park City2
Seattle Sounders-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
San Jose Earthquakes-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bay Cities-
TBD-
TBD-
Monterey Bay-
Sporting Kansas City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Dallas-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Tulsa-
TBD-
Tulsa Athletic3
Azteca0
Houston Dynamo-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
North Carolina FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Rio Grande Valley FC Toros-
San Antonio FC-
TBD-
Denton Diablos2
D'Feeters Kicks3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Austin FC-
Forward Madison-
TBD-
Cleveland2
Chicago United1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Minnesota United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Colorado Rapids-
Chicago Fire-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Union Omaha-
TBD-
Menace4
Minneapolis City2
Real Salt Lake-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Colorado Springs-
TBD-
TBD-
Northern Colorado-
1/64-finals
Orlando City-
TBD-
Tampa Bay6
Brave SC0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Philadelphia Union-
Miami FC3
Miami United0
TBD-
Inter Miami-
Birmingham Legion3
Southern States SC1
Charleston0
South Georgia Tormenta1
Detroit City3
Michigan Stars0
TBD-
Columbus Crew-
Louisville City1
Chattanooga Red Wolves0
Indy Eleven0
St. Louis City 22
Nashville SC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Atlanta United-
TBD-
Chattanooga3
Memphis 9011
Flower City Union1
Western Pioneers0
TBD-
DC United-
Hartford Athletic3
Oyster Bay United1
TBD-
New York Red Bulls-
Richmond Kickers1
Northern Virginia0
Charlotte Independence2
North Carolina Fusion U234
Greenville Triumph2
Oakland Roots0
TBD-
Charlotte FC-
New York City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rochester New York1
Lansdowne Yonkers0
Motown1
Syracuse Pulse0
New England Revolution-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Cincinnati-
TBD-
Pittsburgh Riverhounds2
Maryland Bobcats0
Tucson3
Las Vegas Lights2
California United5
San Fernando Valley0
Los Angeles Galaxy-
TBD-
Albion San Diego1
San Diego Loyal2
Los Angeles FC-
TBD-
Orange County SC5
LA Force2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Portland Timbers-
Sacramento Republic6
Portland (Capital) U230
Central Valley Fuego4
El Paso Locomotive1
Phoenix Rising1
Valley United0
New Mexico5
Las Vegas Legends0
Seattle Sounders-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
San Jose Earthquakes-
TBD-
Bay Cities2
Monterey Bay1
Sporting Kansas City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Dallas-
TBD-
FC Tulsa2
Tulsa Athletic1
Houston Dynamo-
TBD-
North Carolina FC1
Rio Grande Valley FC Toros2
San Antonio FC3
D'Feeters Kicks1
TBD-
Austin FC-
Forward Madison3
Cleveland0
TBD-
Minnesota United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Colorado Rapids-
Chicago Fire-
TBD-
Union Omaha2
Menace1
Real Salt Lake-
TBD-
Colorado Springs0
Northern Colorado1
1/32-finals
Orlando City2
Tampa Bay1
TBD-
Philadelphia Union-
Miami FC0
Inter Miami1
Birmingham Legion0
South Georgia Tormenta2
Detroit City2
Columbus Crew1
Louisville City1
St. Louis City 20
Nashville SC-
TBD-
Atlanta United6
Chattanooga0
Flower City Union0
DC United3
Hartford Athletic1
New York Red Bulls2
Richmond Kickers1
North Carolina Fusion U230
Greenville Triumph1
Charlotte FC2
New York City-
TBD-
Rochester New York3
Motown2
New England Revolution-
TBD-
FC Cincinnati2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds0
Tucson1
California United2
Los Angeles Galaxy1
San Diego Loyal0
Los Angeles FC5
Orange County SC1
TBD-
Portland Timbers-
Sacramento Republic2
Central Valley Fuego1
Phoenix Rising2
New Mexico1
Seattle Sounders-
TBD-
San Jose Earthquakes5
Bay Cities0
Sporting Kansas City-
TBD-
FC Dallas2
FC Tulsa1
Houston Dynamo2
Rio Grande Valley FC Toros1
San Antonio FC2
Austin FC1
Forward Madison0
Minnesota United2
TBD-
Colorado Rapids-
Chicago Fire2
Union Omaha3
Real Salt Lake0
Northern Colorado1
1/16-finals
Orlando City2
Philadelphia Union1
Inter Miami3
South Georgia Tormenta1
Detroit City1
Louisville City2
Nashville SC3
Atlanta United2
DC United0
New York Red Bulls3
Richmond Kickers1
Charlotte FC5
New York City3
Rochester New York1
New England Revolution5
FC Cincinnati1
California United2
Los Angeles Galaxy3
Los Angeles FC2
Portland Timbers0
Sacramento Republic2
Phoenix Rising0
Seattle Sounders2
San Jose Earthquakes3
Sporting Kansas City4
FC Dallas2
Houston Dynamo1
San Antonio FC0
Minnesota United2
Colorado Rapids1
Union Omaha2
Northern Colorado0
1/8-finals
Orlando City2
Inter Miami1
Louisville City1
Nashville SC2
New York Red Bulls3
Charlotte FC1
New York City1
New England Revolution0
Los Angeles Galaxy3
Los Angeles FC1
Sacramento Republic2
San Jose Earthquakes0
Sporting Kansas City2
Houston Dynamo1
Minnesota United1
Union Omaha2
Quarter-finals
Orlando City2
Nashville SC1
New York Red Bulls3
New York City0
Los Angeles Galaxy1
Sacramento Republic2
Sporting Kansas City6
Union Omaha0
Semi-finals
Orlando City5
New York Red Bulls1
Sacramento Republic1
Sporting Kansas City0
Final
Orlando City3
Sacramento Republic0