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Miami FC vs South Georgia Tormenta

USA USA

USL Cup 2025 Riccardo Silva Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Hoyos K.
Assist: Blanco S.
53'
Knutson D.
54' Event
Tunbridge M.
Assist: Jimenez O.

AI Match Summary

South Georgia Tormenta in this USL Cup 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Georgia Tormenta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Miami FC
39%
Draws
30%
South Georgia Tormenta
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Georgia Tormenta lately — more wins on the board than Miami FC.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal USL Cup 2025 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Miami FC Clean Sheet 20%
South Georgia Tormenta Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miami FC South Georgia Tormenta
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 USL Cup
Miami FC vs South Georgia Tormenta
1:2
Apr 17, 2024 US Open Cup
Miami FC vs South Georgia Tormenta
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miami FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoyos K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

South Georgia Tormenta Compare

Top Goalscorer Tunbridge M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doyle C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miami FC 32 / 100
South Georgia Tormenta 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miami FC South Georgia Tormenta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Georgia Tormenta let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Miami FC's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Miami FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Miami FC VS South Georgia Tormenta
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

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PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Greenville Triumph43016:39
2Tampa Bay42028:77
3South Georgia Tormenta42028:87
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5Miami FC42028:95
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