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Miami FC vs Sporting Jax - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Riccardo Silva Stadium, Miami, FL
Miami FC Logo

Miami FC

4 - 1
FT
Sporting Jax Logo

Sporting Jax

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
Sonora J. In: Musto T.
Out: Sonora J.
29'
Edwards R.
30'
Sub
Kuzain W. In: Ackwei W.
Out: Kuzain W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Miami FC and Sporting Jax finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Miami FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Miami FC
15%
Draws
16%
Sporting Jax
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Miami FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Miami FC come out ahead of Sporting Jax on wins alone.
  • Model gives Miami FC a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Miami FC have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Miami FC Clean Sheet 17%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miami FC Sporting Jax
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.54 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Sporting Jax
4:1
Apr 25, 2026 USL Cup
Sporting Jax vs Miami FC
0:1
Mar 25, 2026 USL Championship
Sporting Jax vs Miami FC
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miami FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Milanes Navarro C. D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rocha A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Sporting Jax Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean Mota
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miami FC 84 / 100
Sporting Jax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miami FC Sporting Jax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miami FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sporting Jax conceded in 96% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Miami FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Miami FC scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Miami FC VS Sporting Jax
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Miami FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Tampa Bay
1 : 2
Miami FC
30 Sept
Miami FC
4 : 1
Sporting Jax
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2
Miami FC
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2
Miami FC
12 Sept
Brooklyn FC
1 : 1
Miami FC
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Sporting Jax

(Away)
30 Sept
Miami FC
4 : 1
Sporting Jax
25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4
Loudoun United
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3
Rhode Island
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2
Lexington
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 15 7 5 46:25 52
2 Detroit City 27 13 8 6 33:20 47
3 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Rhode Island 26 11 5 10 39:29 38
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
7 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
8 Miami FC 28 9 9 10 38:45 36
9 Indy Eleven 27 9 7 11 33:33 34
10 Loudoun United 26 4 12 10 32:44 24
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 New Mexico 27 13 7 7 41:32 46
3 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
4 Lexington 27 13 4 10 49:33 43
5 FC Tulsa 27 11 9 7 32:25 42
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 27 8 9 10 36:40 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)