Sport Picks

USA

US Open Cup 2015

SW Florida Adrenaline

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Miami United play SW Florida Adrenaline in the US Open Cup 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Miami United averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. SW Florida Adrenaline averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Miami United won 1, SW Florida Adrenaline won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2015 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Miami United and 1.19 for SW Florida Adrenaline. This points to a SW Florida Adrenaline double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Miami United

40%

Draws

30%

SW Florida Adrenaline

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: SW Florida Adrenaline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Miami United picked up more points recently compared to SW Florida Adrenaline.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 75%

Over 3.5 Goals 45%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Miami United Clean Sheet 20%

SW Florida Adrenaline Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Miami United	SW Florida Adrenaline
Matches Played	18	1
Wins	10	0
Draws	0	0
Losses	8	1
Goals Scored	1.67	1
Goals Conceded	1.61	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2015 US Open Cup

Miami United vs SW Florida Adrenaline

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miami United 31 / 100

SW Florida Adrenaline 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Miami United SW Florida Adrenaline

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SW Florida Adrenaline or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Miami United attacking → ← attacking SW Florida Adrenaline

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miami United scored in 78% of their last 18 games.

SW Florida Adrenaline let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Miami United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

SW Florida Adrenaline lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 0

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00