Sport Picks

USA

US Open Cup 2012

Chicago Fire

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Michigan Bucks play Chicago Fire in the US Open Cup 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Michigan Bucks averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Chicago Fire averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Michigan Bucks won 1, Chicago Fire won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 29, 2012 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Michigan Bucks and 1.36 for Chicago Fire. This points to a Chicago Fire double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Michigan Bucks

15%

Draws

43%

Chicago Fire

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chicago Fire

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Michigan Bucks picked up more points recently compared to Chicago Fire.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.36 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Michigan Bucks Clean Sheet 18%

Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Michigan Bucks	Chicago Fire
Matches Played	20	31
Wins	9	16
Draws	0	6
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.4	2.06
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.45

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2012 US Open Cup

Michigan Bucks vs Chicago Fire

Possession: 45% - 60% Cards: 3 - 0

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Michigan Bucks 41 / 100

Chicago Fire 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Michigan Bucks Chicago Fire

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chicago Fire or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Michigan Bucks attacking → ← attacking Chicago Fire

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Michigan Bucks scored in 75% of their last 20 games.

Chicago Fire let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Michigan Bucks went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Chicago Fire lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 54

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50