Sport Picks

USA

US Open Cup 2012

Dayton

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Michigan Bucks play Dayton in the US Open Cup 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Michigan Bucks averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Dayton averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Michigan Bucks won 0, Dayton won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 5, 2012 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Michigan Bucks and 1.18 for Dayton. This points to a Michigan Bucks double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Michigan Bucks

15%

Draws

39%

Dayton

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Michigan Bucks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Michigan Bucks picked up more points recently compared to Dayton.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Michigan Bucks Clean Sheet 20%

Dayton Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Michigan Bucks	Dayton
Matches Played	20	29
Wins	9	8
Draws	0	3
Losses	11	18
Goals Scored	1.4	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.5	2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2012 US Open Cup

Michigan Bucks vs Dayton

Possession: 52% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Michigan Bucks 45 / 100

Dayton 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Michigan Bucks Dayton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Michigan Bucks or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Michigan Bucks attacking → ← attacking Dayton

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Michigan Bucks scored in 75% of their last 20 games.

Dayton let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Michigan Bucks went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Dayton lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 27

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75