Sport Picks

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Michigan Bucks vs RWB Adria

USA USA

US Open Cup 2014
Wed, May 14, 2014
0 - 1
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Michigan Bucks play RWB Adria in the US Open Cup 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Michigan Bucks averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. RWB Adria averaged 1.29 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Michigan Bucks won 0, RWB Adria won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 14, 2014 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Michigan Bucks and 1.21 for RWB Adria. This points to a Michigan Bucks double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Michigan Bucks
15%
Draws
38%
RWB Adria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Michigan Bucks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Michigan Bucks picked up more points recently compared to RWB Adria.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.21 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Michigan Bucks Clean Sheet 20%
RWB Adria Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Michigan Bucks RWB Adria
Matches Played 20 7
Wins 9 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.4 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2014 US Open Cup
Michigan Bucks vs RWB Adria
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Michigan Bucks Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

RWB Adria Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Michigan Bucks 46 / 100
RWB Adria 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Michigan Bucks RWB Adria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Michigan Bucks or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Michigan Bucks attacking → ← attacking RWB Adria

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Michigan Bucks scored in 75% of their last 20 games.

RWB Adria let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Michigan Bucks went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

RWB Adria lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 6
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.29
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00