Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mickleover vs Telford

England England

FA Trophy 2024/2025 Don Amott Arena, Derby
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Dinanga R.
50' Event
Hickingbottom C.
70' Event
Dinanga R.

AI Match Summary

Telford in this FA Trophy 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Mickleover
20%
Draws
20%
Telford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mickleover

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Telford haven't matched Mickleover's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mickleover a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Mickleover have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Telford, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Telford have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mickleover Clean Sheet 20%
Telford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mickleover Telford
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.89 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 FA Trophy
Mickleover vs Telford
1:2
May 1, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Telford vs Mickleover
2:0
Jan 6, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Mickleover vs Telford
0:1
Sep 12, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Telford vs Mickleover
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mickleover Compare

Top Goalscorer Hickingbottom C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Telford Compare

Top Goalscorer Dinanga R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mickleover 58 / 100
Telford 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mickleover Telford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mickleover Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Mickleover found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Telford lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mickleover VS Telford
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mickleover

(Home)
29 Aug
Grantham Town
1 : 3
Mickleover
28 Jul
Worksop
1 : 0
Mickleover
06 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 3
Basford Utd.
26 Apr
Mickleover
2 : 0
Prescot Cables
21 Apr
Ashton United
2 : 0
Mickleover
Page 1 of 6

Telford

(Away)
31 Aug
Telford
0 : 1
Bedford
28 Aug
Morecambe
2 : 1
Telford
22 Aug
Telford
1 : 1
Hednesford
18 Aug
Merthyr Town
2 : 2
Telford
15 Aug
Worksop
2 : 1
Telford
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Plymouth Parkway 0
Chichester City 4
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Gosport Borough 5
Taunton Town 1
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Canvey Island 0
Horsham FC 2
TBD -
Maidstone -
Leamington -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
Stockton 2
Newton Aycliffe 1
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oldham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Macclesfield 7
Ashton United 1
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
St. Albans -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 2
Anstey Nomads 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Barton 0
Folkestone 3
Hanwell Town 5
Hendon 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Halesowen 4
FC Congleton Town 1
Slough Town -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Chatham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Hungerford 2
Yate 3
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Hashtag 2
TBD -
Brackley -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
TBD -
South Shields -
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington 2
Bamber Bridge 3
TBD -
Farsley -
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge 0
Alvechurch 1
Chasetown 2
Belper Town 1
Hereford -
TBD -
Brentwood 4
Cray Valley 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Tavistock 0
Winchester City 4
Dover Ath. 0
Sittingbourne 2
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
Salisbury -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Bath City -
TBD -
Uxbridge 0
Chertsey Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
Stortford 1
Felixstowe & Walton 6
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Gloucester City 2
Coleshill Town 3
Biggleswade Town 2
Potters 0
Lewes 3
Ashford United 2
AFC Totton 1
Dorchester 0
Oxford City -
TBD -
Barwell 0
Sporting Khalsa 2
Hadley 4
Hastings 3
Mickleover 1
Telford 2
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Chorley -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands 4
Ossett United 0
Clitheroe 1
Gainsborough 4
TBD -
Chester -
Cambridge City 1
Royston Town 2
TBD -
Rushall -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Buxton -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
TBD -
Bristol Manor Farm 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
Worksop 2
United of Manchester 0
1/64-finals
Chichester City 2
Worthing FC 3
Gosport Borough 1
Tonbridge 0
Torquay 1
Truro 0
Horsham FC 2
Maidstone 1
Leamington 2
King’s Lynn 1
TBD -
Rochdale -
Stockton 3
Scarborough Athletic 1
TBD -
Oldham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton 2
Macclesfield 3
Barnet -
TBD -
Aveley 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
St. Albans 1
Basford Utd. 2
TBD -
Halifax -
Folkestone 0
Hanwell Town 2
TBD -
Eastleigh -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Kidderminster 2
Halesowen 1
Slough Town 2
Chatham 1
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Yate 0
Hampton & Richmond 2
Hashtag 3
Brackley 2
Alfreton 3
Needham Market 2
Spennymoor 2
South Shields 1
Gateshead -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge 0
Farsley 1
Boston United -
TBD -
Alvechurch 1
Chasetown 0
Hereford 0
Brentwood 1
TBD -
Southend -
Southport 3
Warrington Town 0
Peterborough Sports 2
Chelmsford 0
Winchester City 1
Sittingbourne 2
Enfield Town 2
Hornchurch 1
Chesham 2
Chippenham Town 0
Salisbury 3
Farnborough 0
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Bath City 2
Chertsey Town 3
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Yeovil -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 2
Weymouth 3
Boreham Wood 2
Felixstowe & Walton 1
Dorking Wanderers 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
Coleshill Town 4
Biggleswade Town 5
Lewes 0
AFC Totton 2
Oxford City 5
Sporting Khalsa 0
Hadley 1
Telford 0
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Chorley 3
Marine 1
Scunthorpe 1
Warrington Rylands 2
Gainsborough 1
Chester 0
Royston Town 0
Rushall 1
York City -
TBD -
Darlington FC 1
Buxton 0
Woking -
TBD -
Welling 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Radcliffe 3
Worksop 2
1/32-finals
Worthing FC 1
Gosport Borough 2
Torquay 2
Horsham FC 0
Leamington 0
Rochdale 2
Stockton 2
Oldham 0
Altrincham 1
Macclesfield 0
Barnet 2
Aveley 0
Basford Utd. 3
Halifax 2
Hanwell Town 1
Eastleigh 2
AFC Fylde 2
Kidderminster 3
Slough Town 2
Maidenhead 1
Sutton 4
Ebbsfleet 3
Hartlepool 1
Tamworth 2
Hampton & Richmond 3
Hashtag 0
Alfreton 0
Spennymoor 1
Gateshead 8
Farsley 1
Boston United 1
Alvechurch 0
Brentwood 3
Southend 5
Southport 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Sittingbourne 4
Enfield Town 2
Chesham 2
Salisbury 3
Aldershot 3
Wealdstone 1
Chertsey Town 1
Dagenham & Red. 0
Yeovil 1
Weymouth 2
Boreham Wood 1
Eastbourne Borough 0
Biggleswade Town 2
AFC Totton 1
Oxford City 2
Hadley 1
Braintree 1
Forest Green 2
Chorley 3
Warrington Rylands 2
Gainsborough 2
Rushall 1
York City 3
Darlington FC 1
Woking 4
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Solihull Moors 1
Radcliffe 2
1/16-finals
Worthing FC 5
Torquay 1
Rochdale 1
Stockton 0
Altrincham 3
Barnet 1
Basford Utd. 1
Eastleigh 4
Kidderminster 4
Slough Town 0
Sutton 1
Tamworth 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Spennymoor 2
Gateshead 1
Boston United 3
Southend 1
Southport 0
Sittingbourne 2
Salisbury 1
Aldershot 8
Chertsey Town 0
Weymouth 1
Boreham Wood 2
Biggleswade Town 0
Oxford City 3
Forest Green 2
Chorley 0
Gainsborough 1
York City 0
Woking 4
Radcliffe 0
1/8-finals
Worthing FC 1
Rochdale 2
Altrincham 1
Eastleigh 0
Kidderminster 0
Sutton 1
Spennymoor 3
Boston United 2
Southend 0
Sittingbourne 1
Aldershot 2
Boreham Wood 0
Oxford City 1
Forest Green 0
Gainsborough 0
Woking 3
Quarter-finals
Rochdale 2
Altrincham 0
Sutton 0
Spennymoor 2
Sittingbourne 0
Aldershot 3
Oxford City 2
Woking 3
Semi-finals
Rochdale 2
Spennymoor 3
Aldershot 2
Woking 1
Final
Spennymoor 0
Aldershot 3