Sport Picks

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Mictlan vs Marquense

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio La Asuncion, Asuncion Mita
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Fajardo W.
20' Event
Colon S.
46'
Sub
Escobar M. In: Joj J.
Out: Escobar M.

AI Match Summary

Mictlan in this Liga Nacional 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mictlan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Mictlan
30%
Draws
35%
Marquense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mictlan haven't matched Marquense's recent run of results.
  • Marquense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Mictlan Clean Sheet 10%
Marquense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mictlan Marquense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Mictlan
3:0
Feb 22, 2026 Liga Nacional
Mictlan vs Marquense
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
Mictlan vs Marquense
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Mictlan
1:0
Apr 30, 2017 Liga Nacional
Mictlan vs Marquense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mictlan Compare

Top Goalscorer Fajardo W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colon S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Marquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Casas D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mictlan 26 / 100
Marquense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mictlan Marquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marquense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mictlan's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Marquense let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mictlan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mictlan VS Marquense
1.29 Goals Scored 1.13
2.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mictlan

(Home)
26 Apr
Aurora F.C.
1 : 1
Mictlan
19 Apr
Mictlan
2 : 3
Xelaju
16 Apr
Mictlan
2 : 2
Deportivo Mixco
12 Apr
Marquense
3 : 0
Mictlan
05 Apr
Mictlan
1 : 1
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

Marquense

(Away)
16 Aug
Suchitepequez
1 : 2
Marquense
08 Aug
Deportivo Mixco
1 : 0
Marquense
03 Aug
Marquense
1 : 2
Municipal
25 Jul
Antigua
3 : 1
Marquense
04 May
Xelaju
2 : 0
Marquense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xelaju 22 11 6 5 34:19 39
2 Municipal 22 11 5 6 32:21 38
3 Deportivo Mixco 22 10 6 6 30:26 36
4 Comunicaciones 22 11 2 9 28:26 35
5 Antigua 22 9 7 6 34:29 34
6 Coban Imperial 22 8 8 6 29:22 32
7 Guastatoya 22 8 7 7 29:21 31
8 Marquense 22 9 3 10 25:29 30
9 Mictlan 22 7 6 9 25:36 27
10 Malacateco 22 6 4 12 19:25 22
11 Aurora F.C. 22 4 8 10 14:30 20
12 Deportivo Achuapa 22 5 4 13 17:32 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)