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Middelfart vs Aalborg

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Middelfart Stadium, Middelfart
Middelfart Logo

Middelfart

2 - 5
FT
Aalborg Logo

Aalborg

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Juul-Sandberg N.
Assist: Kakeeto R.
21' Event
Wielzen J.
Assist: Juul-Sandberg N.
46'
Sub
Villemoes J. In: Linnet J.
Out: Villemoes J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Middelfart and Aalborg finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Middelfart
15%
Draws
34%
Aalborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middelfart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aalborg have managed 1.61 goals a game lately — Middelfart are scoring more at 1.7.
  • Model gives Middelfart a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aalborg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Middelfart Clean Sheet 15%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middelfart Aalborg
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 1 9
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.7 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Middelfart
1:3
Apr 4, 2026 1st Division
Middelfart vs Aalborg
2:5
Nov 1, 2025 1st Division
Middelfart vs Aalborg
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 1st Division
Aalborg vs Middelfart
4:0
Nov 9, 2022 Betano Pokalen
Middelfart vs Aalborg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Middelfart Compare

Top Goalscorer Juul-Sandberg N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wielzen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Aalborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Helenius N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Moller V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middelfart 84 / 100
Aalborg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middelfart Aalborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MID Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Middelfart has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Middelfart scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Middelfart VS Aalborg
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Middelfart

(Home)
07 Aug
Middelfart
4 : 0
Brabrand
04 Aug
Bredballe
0 : 2
Middelfart
01 Aug
Middelfart
4 : 1
Thisted FC
25 Jul
Naesby
0 : 1
Middelfart
18 Jul
Middelfart
3 : 0
VSK Aarhus
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Aalborg

(Away)
09 Aug
Aalborg
1 : 1
Kolding IF
04 Aug
Holstebro
1 : 3
Aalborg
31 Jul
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 2
Aalborg
24 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 0
Hillerod
17 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 2
Silkeborg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)