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Stadium Background

Middelfart vs Koge

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Middelfart Stadium, Middelfart
Middelfart Logo

Middelfart

0 - 4
FT
Koge Logo

Koge

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Hald S.
31' Event
Jensen Tue C.
Assist: Hald S.
33' Event
Thomsen T.
Assist: Salah M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Middelfart and Koge finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Koge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Middelfart
15%
Draws
14%
Koge
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middelfart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Middelfart come out ahead of Koge on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Middelfart taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Middelfart Clean Sheet 20%
Koge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middelfart Koge
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 1 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 2.38 0.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 1st Division
Middelfart vs Koge
0:4
Apr 10, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Middelfart
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Middelfart
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 1st Division
Middelfart vs Koge
2:2
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Koge vs Middelfart
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Middelfart Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Koge Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomsen T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hald S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middelfart 85 / 100
Koge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middelfart Koge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MID Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Middelfart stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Middelfart's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Koge has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Middelfart VS Koge
2.38 Goals Scored 0.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Middelfart

(Home)
07 Aug
Middelfart
4 : 0
Brabrand
04 Aug
Bredballe
0 : 2
Middelfart
01 Aug
Middelfart
4 : 1
Thisted FC
25 Jul
Naesby
0 : 1
Middelfart
18 Jul
Middelfart
3 : 0
VSK Aarhus
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Koge

(Away)
04 Aug
Bronshoj
1 : 0
Koge
31 Jul
Koge
0 : 2
Vejle
25 Jul
Fredericia
3 : 0
Koge
18 Jul
Naestved IF
2 : 0
Koge
11 Jul
Koge
1 : 0
Roskilde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)