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Middelfart vs Naesby

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Trialist A
87' Event
Boesen M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Middelfart
15%
Draws
32%
Naesby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middelfart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naesby lately — more wins on the board than Middelfart.
  • Middelfart are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Middelfart Clean Sheet 10%
Naesby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middelfart Naesby
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 1 5
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 2.13 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Naesby vs Middelfart
0:1
Jan 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Middelfart vs Naesby
1:1
Jul 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Middelfart vs Naesby
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Middelfart vs Naesby
3:0
Mar 2, 2024 Club Friendly
Middelfart vs Naesby
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Middelfart Compare

Top Goalscorer Boesen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Naesby Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist A
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middelfart 83 / 100
Naesby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middelfart Naesby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MID Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Middelfart went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Middelfart scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Naesby conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Middelfart VS Naesby
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Middelfart

(Home)
07 Aug
Middelfart
4 : 0
Brabrand
04 Aug
Bredballe
0 : 2
Middelfart
01 Aug
Middelfart
4 : 1
Thisted FC
25 Jul
Naesby
0 : 1
Middelfart
18 Jul
Middelfart
3 : 0
VSK Aarhus
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Naesby

(Away)
08 Aug
Vanlose
3 : 0
Naesby
04 Aug
Kolding BK
0 : 3
Naesby
01 Aug
Naesby
2 : 1
Sundby
25 Jul
Naesby
0 : 1
Middelfart
18 Jul
Naesby
4 : 2
Skive
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