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Middelfart vs Otterup

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division West 2012/2013
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Lund M.
77' Event
Backer E.
82' Event
Smidt S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2nd Division West 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Middelfart
15%
Draws
39%
Otterup
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middelfart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Middelfart have won more games recently than Otterup.
  • Win probability leans Middelfart's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular 2nd Division West 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Middelfart have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Middelfart Clean Sheet 13%
Otterup Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middelfart Otterup
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.82 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.05 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2020 Betano Pokalen
Otterup vs Middelfart
2:3
Jun 5, 2013 2nd Division West
Middelfart vs Otterup
2:2
Oct 6, 2012 2nd Division West
Otterup vs Middelfart
0:2
May 11, 2011 2nd Division West
Middelfart vs Otterup
3:0
Aug 27, 2010 2nd Division West
Otterup vs Middelfart
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Middelfart Compare

Top Goalscorer Backer E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smidt S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Otterup Compare

Top Goalscorer Lund M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harder L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middelfart 35 / 100
Otterup 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middelfart Otterup

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Middelfart's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Otterup has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Middelfart remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Middelfart VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Middelfart

(Home)
09 Sept
Nykobing
6 : 5
Middelfart
05 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
Fremad Amager
29 Aug
Hellerup
1 : 2
Middelfart
25 Aug
OKS Odense
0 : 1
Middelfart
22 Aug
Middelfart
2 : 3
Nykobing
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Otterup

(Away)
09 Aug
Otterup
2 : 4
SfB-Oure
02 Sept
Otterup
2 : 3
Middelfart
22 Feb
Otterup
1 : 0
Dalum IF
24 Sept
Otterup
0 : 2
Odense
03 Sept
Otterup
4 : 0
FC Sydvest 05
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marienlyst 30 21 5 4 81:45 68
2 Aarhus Fremad 30 18 7 5 63:17 61
3 Brabrand 30 15 8 7 51:40 53
4 Jammerbugt 30 14 8 8 56:44 50
5 Svendborg 30 14 6 10 54:45 48
6 Naesby 30 12 10 8 62:52 46
7 Middelfart 30 11 8 11 45:38 41
8 Thisted FC 30 11 8 11 51:49 41
9 Skanderborg 30 12 5 13 60:60 41
10 Skovbakken 30 9 10 11 45:51 37
11 Sollerod-Ved. 30 10 6 14 49:58 36
12 FC Sydvest 05 30 9 6 15 44:59 33
13 Ringkobing 30 8 7 15 47:61 31
14 Kjellerup 30 8 6 16 39:60 30
15 Otterup 30 7 8 15 47:73 29
16 Varde 30 2 10 18 35:77 16
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