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Middlesbrough U18 vs Leeds U18

England England

Premier League U18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Hitchen Z.
Assist: Balmer L.
46' Event
Harrison L.
56' Event
Bennett O.
Assist: Watling B.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League U18 2025/2026 game between Middlesbrough U18 and Leeds U18 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leeds U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Middlesbrough U18
20%
Draws
44%
Leeds U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leeds U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Middlesbrough U18 come out ahead of Leeds U18 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Middlesbrough U18's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Premier League U18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Middlesbrough U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Leeds U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middlesbrough U18 Leeds U18
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.66 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
3:2
Mar 21, 2026 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Leeds U18
1:2
May 3, 2025 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Leeds U18
6:3
Nov 30, 2024 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
0:3
Feb 17, 2024 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Leeds U18
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Middlesbrough U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Harrison L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Leeds U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hitchen Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bennett O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middlesbrough U18 65 / 100
Leeds U18 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middlesbrough U18 Leeds U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Middlesbrough U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leeds U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Middlesbrough U18 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Middlesbrough U18 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Middlesbrough U18 VS Leeds U18
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Middlesbrough U18

(Home)
12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1
Middlesbrough U18
05 Sept
Manchester United U18
5 : 0
Middlesbrough U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3
Derby U18
22 Aug
Liverpool U18
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U18
15 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
2 : 2
Leicester U18
Page 1 of 6

Leeds U18

(Away)
12 Sept
Leeds U18
3 : 1
Leicester U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3
Burnley U18
29 Aug
Manchester City U18
5 : 1
Leeds U18
22 Aug
Leeds U18
2 : 1
Wolves U18
15 Aug
Everton U18
6 : 1
Leeds U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 26 19 3 4 96:39 60
2 Manchester United U18 26 18 2 6 65:24 56
3 Newcastle Utd U18 26 16 1 9 55:44 49
4 Everton U18 26 13 3 10 54:45 42
5 Nottingham U18 26 13 3 10 50:47 42
6 Sunderland U18 26 11 6 9 56:44 39
7 Middlesbrough U18 26 12 3 11 45:45 39
8 Liverpool U18 26 11 2 13 70:70 35
9 Blackburn U18 26 9 6 11 51:68 33
10 Derby U18 26 10 2 14 44:67 32
11 Burnley U18 26 9 3 14 49:68 30
12 Leeds U18 26 8 5 13 47:68 29
13 Wolves U18 26 5 5 16 29:55 20
14 Stoke City U18 26 5 2 19 42:69 17
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U18 28 21 4 3 88:24 67
2 Tottenham U18 28 16 6 6 70:36 54
3 Aston Villa U18 28 17 3 8 82:55 54
4 Brighton U18 28 14 7 7 63:41 49
5 Crystal Palace U18 28 14 4 10 74:52 46
6 West Brom U18 28 14 4 10 68:50 46
7 Southampton U18 28 13 3 12 65:61 42
8 West Ham U18 28 13 2 13 62:59 41
9 Leicester U18 28 10 6 12 46:53 36
10 Arsenal U18 28 9 6 13 46:57 33
11 Fulham U18 28 9 6 13 48:65 33
12 Norwich U18 28 6 8 14 47:67 26
13 Reading U18 28 6 8 14 38:66 26
14 Birmingham U18 28 6 3 19 29:88 21
15 Ipswich U18 28 6 2 20 41:93 20
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)