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Middlesbrough U21 vs Genk U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Premier League International Cup Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Pierre K.
Assist: Coenen J.
90' Event
Tika-Lemba E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Middlesbrough U21
35%
Draws
31%
Genk U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Genk U21 lately — more wins on the board than Middlesbrough U21.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Genk U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Middlesbrough U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Genk U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middlesbrough U21 Genk U21
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 11 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 1
Goals Scored 2.03 2.87
Goals Conceded 1.4 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Premier League International Cup
Middlesbrough U21 vs Genk U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Middlesbrough U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tika-Lemba E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Genk U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierre K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middlesbrough U21 32 / 100
Genk U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middlesbrough U21 Genk U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Middlesbrough U21's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Middlesbrough U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Genk U21 let in goals in 74% of their last 23 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Middlesbrough U21 VS Genk U21
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Middlesbrough U21

(Home)
30 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 0
Juventus U21
23 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 1
Genk U21
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U21
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4
Leeds U21
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3
Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 6

Genk U21

(Away)
23 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 1
Genk U21
02 May
Genk U21
0 : 2
Club Brugge U21
28 Apr
St. Liege U21
1 : 1
Genk U21
20 Apr
Genk U21
3 : 2
Gent U21
15 Apr
Charleroi U21
1 : 2
Genk U21
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 West Ham U21 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Genk U21 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Monaco II 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Manchester United U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Southampton U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Juventus U21 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
8 Valencia B 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 B. Monchengladbach II 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 AC Milan U23 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Nordsjaelland U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Manchester City U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
7 Dinamo Zagreb 2 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
8 Stoke City U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brondby U21 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Dortmund II 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Sporting CP B 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
4 Real Sociedad B 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
5 Aston Villa U21 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
6 Nottingham U21 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
7 Fulham U21 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
8 Leicester U21 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Jong PSV 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Sunderland U21 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Ipswich U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Anderlecht 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 FC Porto U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 PSG U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup (Play Offs)