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Stadium Background

Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds U21

England England

Premier League 2 Heritage Park, Bishop Auckland
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Vincent H.
Assist: Pickles O.
29' Event
Njinko C.
Assist: Lane F.
31' Event
Njinko C.
Assist: Vincent H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Middlesbrough U21
20%
Draws
40%
Leeds U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Middlesbrough U21 have won more games recently than Leeds U21.
  • Model gives Middlesbrough U21 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Middlesbrough U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middlesbrough U21 Leeds U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 2.07 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds U21
4:4
Apr 4, 2025 Premier League 2
Leeds U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
0:2
Apr 23, 2023 Premier League 2
Leeds U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
3:1
Oct 22, 2022 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds U21
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Middlesbrough U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibeh C.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Leeds U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Njinko C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vincent H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middlesbrough U21 41 / 100
Leeds U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middlesbrough U21 Leeds U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Middlesbrough U21 found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Leeds U21 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Middlesbrough U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Middlesbrough U21 VS Leeds U21
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Middlesbrough U21

(Home)
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4
Leeds U21
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3
Middlesbrough U21
31 Aug
Bournemouth U21
3 : 1
Middlesbrough U21
23 Aug
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1
Norwich U21
18 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3
Middlesbrough U21
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Leeds U21

(Away)
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4
Leeds U21
08 Sept
Solihull Moors
2 : 3
Leeds U21
04 Sept
Charlton U21
1 : 0
Leeds U21
30 Aug
Liverpool U21
2 : 1
Leeds U21
23 Aug
Leeds U21
4 : 3
West Brom U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southampton U21 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Manchester United U21 3 3 0 0 12:3 9
3 Sunderland U21 4 3 0 1 13:9 9
4 Nottingham U21 4 3 0 1 7:7 9
5 Fulham U21 3 2 1 0 11:6 7
6 Tottenham U21 3 2 1 0 9:5 7
7 Norwich U21 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
8 Chelsea U21 3 2 0 1 10:7 6
9 Brentford U21 4 2 0 2 10:8 6
10 Reading U21 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
11 Bournemouth U21 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
12 West Ham U21 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
13 Aston Villa U21 4 1 2 1 7:8 5
14 Stoke City U21 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
15 Brighton U21 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
16 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
17 Everton U21 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
18 Leeds U21 3 1 1 1 9:9 4
19 Liverpool U21 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
20 Derby U21 4 1 1 2 9:12 4
21 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
22 Burnley U21 4 1 0 3 8:9 3
23 Arsenal U21 4 0 3 1 4:7 3
24 Ipswich U21 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
25 Birmingham U21 3 0 2 1 5:7 2
26 Middlesbrough U21 4 0 2 2 7:10 2
27 West Brom U21 3 0 1 2 8:11 1
28 Leicester U21 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
29 Blackburn U21 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
30 Newcastle Utd U21 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
31 Wolves U21 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
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