Sport Picks
Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League 2 Heritage Park, Bishop Auckland 
Match Events
5'
5'
Vincent H.
Assist: Pickles O.
29'
29'
Njinko C.
Assist: Lane F.
31'
31'
Njinko C.
Assist: Vincent H.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middlesbrough U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Middlesbrough U21 have won more games recently than Leeds U21.
- Model gives Middlesbrough U21 a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Middlesbrough U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Middlesbrough U21 | Leeds U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 2.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds U21
4:4
Apr 4, 2025 Premier League 2
Leeds U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
0:2
Apr 23, 2023 Premier League 2
Leeds U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
3:1
Oct 22, 2022 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Leeds U21
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Middlesbrough U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Ibeh C.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Leeds U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Njinko C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Vincent H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Middlesbrough U21 34 / 100
Leeds U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Middlesbrough U21 Leeds U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Middlesbrough U21 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Leeds U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Leeds U21 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Middlesbrough U21 VS Leeds U21
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Middlesbrough U21
(Home) 03 Nov
Middlesbrough U21
3 : 2 Valencia B
25 Oct
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 2 Tottenham U21
20 Oct
Boreham Wood
7 : 1 Middlesbrough U21
16 Oct
Everton U21
2 : 1 Middlesbrough U21
30 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 0 Juventus U21
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Middlesbrough U21
3 : 2 Valencia B
25 Oct
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 2 Tottenham U21
30 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 0 Juventus U21
23 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 1 Genk U21
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 3
Leeds U21
(Away) 03 Nov
Hartlepool
3 : 1 Leeds U21
31 Oct
Leeds U21
2 : 2 Stoke City U21
18 Oct
Leeds U21
1 : 4 Crystal Palace U21
13 Oct
Oldham
4 : 2 Leeds U21
09 Oct
Leeds U21
3 : 1 Stockport U21
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Hartlepool
3 : 1 Leeds U21
13 Oct
Oldham
4 : 2 Leeds U21
06 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 0 Leeds U21
22 Sept
Barnsley
3 : 4 Leeds U21
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:8 | 16 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:11 | 13 |
| 4 | Norwich U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nottingham U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Sunderland U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 8 | Fulham U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Bournemouth U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Reading U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 11 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 12 | Brentford U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 14 | Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14:14 | 8 |
| 15 | West Ham U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 18 | Derby U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:16 | 7 |
| 19 | Leeds U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:13 | 7 |
| 20 | Manchester City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 6 |
| 21 | Ipswich U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 23 | Stoke City U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 4 |
| 24 | Leicester U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 25 | Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 26 | Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 3 |
| 27 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 28 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 3 |
| 29 | Middlesbrough U21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 2 |
| 30 | Birmingham U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:16 | 2 |
| 31 | West Brom U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11:17 | 1 |
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