Sport Picks
Middlesbrough U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
England
Premier League 2 2021/2022 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough 
Match Events
1'
1'
Lindo A.
Assist: Lea S. J.
3'
3'
Olusanya T.
11'
11'
Gibson J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Middlesbrough U23 and Newcastle Utd U23 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Middlesbrough U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Middlesbrough U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Newcastle Utd U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Middlesbrough U23 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Middlesbrough U23 Clean Sheet 12%
Newcastle Utd U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Middlesbrough U23 | Newcastle Utd U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 18 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 1, 2022 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
4:2
Oct 1, 2021 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Middlesbrough U23
4:1
Mar 5, 2021 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
2:1
Sep 11, 2020 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Middlesbrough U23
2:2
Feb 28, 2020 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Middlesbrough U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Lindo A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bilongo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Newcastle Utd U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Wiggett C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Westendorf I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Middlesbrough U23 74 / 100
Newcastle Utd U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Middlesbrough U23 Newcastle Utd U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Middlesbrough U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Utd U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Middlesbrough U23 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Middlesbrough U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Middlesbrough U23 VS Newcastle Utd U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Middlesbrough U23
(Home) 20 Jul
Whitby
2 : 2 Middlesbrough U23
04 May
Wolves U23
3 : 2 Middlesbrough U23
01 May
Middlesbrough U23
2 : 1 Reading U23
22 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 1 Middlesbrough U23
15 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
0 : 3 Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Middlesbrough U23
2 : 1 Reading U23
15 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
0 : 3 Wolves U23
01 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
4 : 2 Newcastle Utd U23
18 Mar
Middlesbrough U23
0 : 0 Fulham U23
09 Mar
Middlesbrough U23
2 : 1 Arsenal U23
Page 1 of 3
Newcastle Utd U23
(Away) 02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2 Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 4 Southampton U23
18 Apr
Wolves U23
4 : 2 Newcastle Utd U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1 Newcastle Utd U23
01 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
4 : 2 Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2 Newcastle Utd U23
18 Apr
Wolves U23
4 : 2 Newcastle Utd U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1 Newcastle Utd U23
01 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
4 : 2 Newcastle Utd U23
21 Mar
Stoke City U23
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U23 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 65:32 | 54 |
| 2 | West Ham U23 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 59:39 | 48 |
| 3 | Arsenal U23 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 56:48 | 41 |
| 4 | Liverpool U23 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 47:37 | 40 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 54:50 | 39 |
| 6 | Manchester United U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:43 | 39 |
| 7 | Tottenham U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 49:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Leicester U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:53 | 37 |
| 9 | Blackburn U23 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 50:56 | 35 |
| 10 | Brighton U23 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 41:41 | 34 |
| 11 | Everton U23 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33:54 | 29 |
| 12 | Chelsea U23 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 39:47 | 28 |
| 13 | Leeds U23 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | 27 |
| 14 | Derby U23 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 31:58 | 15 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U23 | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 64:27 | 62 |
| 2 | Wolves U23 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 46:37 | 47 |
| 3 | Stoke City U23 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:36 | 43 |
| 4 | Nottingham U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:31 | 42 |
| 5 | Norwich U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 64:52 | 39 |
| 6 | Burnley U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:39 | 39 |
| 7 | Southampton U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:42 | 39 |
| 8 | Newcastle Utd U23 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 51:56 | 38 |
| 9 | West Brom U23 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 44:54 | 35 |
| 10 | Aston Villa U23 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 53:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Birmingham U23 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 34:51 | 26 |
| 12 | Middlesbrough U23 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 31:50 | 26 |
| 13 | Sunderland U23 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 35:49 | 24 |
| 14 | Reading U23 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 32:56 | 23 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
