Sport Picks
Middlesbrough vs Charlton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough 
Match Events
9'
9'
Bindon T.
12'
12'
Berhalter S.
Assist: Cozier-Duberry A.
36'
36'
McGree R.
AI Match Summary
Middlesbrough in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Middlesbrough.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
30%
9%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Middlesbrough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Charlton haven't matched Middlesbrough's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Middlesbrough's way, sitting at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Middlesbrough have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Middlesbrough Clean Sheet 68%
Charlton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 Championship
Middlesbrough vs Charlton
3:0
Mar 11, 2026 Championship
Middlesbrough vs Charlton
0:1
Dec 9, 2025 Championship
Charlton vs Middlesbrough
1:2
Mar 7, 2020 Championship
Charlton vs Middlesbrough
0:1
Dec 7, 2019 Championship
Middlesbrough vs Charlton
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Middlesbrough Compare
Top Goalscorer Lankshear W.
2 Goals Assists Leader Berhalter S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Charlton Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Middlesbrough 95 / 100
Charlton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Middlesbrough Charlton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Middlesbrough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Middlesbrough found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Middlesbrough went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Charlton has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Middlesbrough VS Charlton
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Middlesbrough
(Home) 31 Oct
Middlesbrough
3 : 0 Charlton
23 Oct
Bolton
1 : 5 Middlesbrough
17 Oct
Middlesbrough
2 : 2 Cardiff
13 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 3 Middlesbrough
10 Oct
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 Wolves
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Middlesbrough
3 : 0 Charlton
17 Oct
Middlesbrough
2 : 2 Cardiff
10 Oct
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 Wolves
15 Sept
Middlesbrough
2 : 2 Millwall
12 Sept
Middlesbrough
4 : 3 Norwich
Page 1 of 3
Charlton
(Away) 31 Oct
Middlesbrough
3 : 0 Charlton
24 Oct
Charlton
1 : 3 Norwich
17 Oct
Watford
2 : 0 Charlton
13 Oct
Burnley
2 : 2 Charlton
10 Oct
Charlton
1 : 1 Bristol City
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Middlesbrough
3 : 0 Charlton
17 Oct
Watford
2 : 0 Charlton
13 Oct
Burnley
2 : 2 Charlton
19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1 Charlton
05 Sept
Stoke City
4 : 0 Charlton
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln City | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
