Sport Picks
Middlesbrough vs Millwall
England
Championship 2025/2026 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough 
Match Events
13'
13'
McGree R.
13'
13'
Cooper J.
26'
26'
Fry D.
Assist: Browne A.
AI Match Summary
Millwall in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Millwall.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Millwall
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Millwall lately — more wins on the board than Middlesbrough.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Middlesbrough Clean Sheet 20%
Millwall Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 Championship
Middlesbrough vs Millwall
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs Middlesbrough
0:3
Apr 12, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs Middlesbrough
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Championship
Middlesbrough vs Millwall
1:0
Jan 13, 2024 Championship
Millwall vs Middlesbrough
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Middlesbrough Compare
Top Goalscorer Fry D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Millwall Compare
Top Goalscorer Coburn J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Middlesbrough 32 / 100
Millwall 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Middlesbrough Millwall
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Middlesbrough found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Millwall has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Middlesbrough has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Middlesbrough VS Millwall
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Middlesbrough
(Home) 07 Aug
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 Wrexham
01 Aug
Middlesbrough
3 : 3 Espanyol
25 Jul
Middlesbrough
1 : 3 Huddersfield
18 Jul
Celtic
1 : 1 Middlesbrough
23 May
Hull City
1 : 0 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 Wrexham
01 Aug
Middlesbrough
3 : 3 Espanyol
25 Jul
Middlesbrough
1 : 3 Huddersfield
09 May
Middlesbrough
0 : 0 Southampton
25 Apr
Middlesbrough
5 : 1 Watford
Page 1 of 3
Millwall
(Away) 08 Aug
QPR
1 : 2 Millwall
01 Aug
Millwall
1 : 0 Antwerp
28 Jul
Bromley
1 : 1 Millwall
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0 Millwall
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0 Millwall
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
QPR
1 : 2 Millwall
28 Jul
Bromley
1 : 1 Millwall
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0 Millwall
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0 Millwall
17 Jul
Eldense
1 : 2 Millwall
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
