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Middlesbrough W vs Bradford City W

England England

Women's National League North 2016/2017 Riverside Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Middlesbrough W play Bradford City W in the Women's National League North 2016/2017. Middlesbrough W are favorites here. Recently, Middlesbrough W averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Bradford City W averaged 0.71 goals scored and 5.32 conceded. In past meetings, Middlesbrough W won 4, Bradford City W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 13, 2022 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Middlesbrough W and 1.00 for Bradford City W. This points to a Middlesbrough W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Middlesbrough W
15%
Draws
12%
Bradford City W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middlesbrough W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Middlesbrough W picked up more points recently compared to Bradford City W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Middlesbrough W Clean Sheet 23%
Bradford City W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middlesbrough W Bradford City W
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 16 3
Draws 9 0
Losses 10 28
Goals Scored 1.69 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.26 5.32

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2022 Women’s FA Cup
Middlesbrough W vs Bradford City W
2:1
Feb 24, 2019 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Bradford City W
8:1
Sep 30, 2018 Women's National League North
Bradford City W vs Middlesbrough W
0:4
Feb 18, 2018 Women's National League North
Bradford City W vs Middlesbrough W
9:2
Nov 12, 2017 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Bradford City W
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middlesbrough W 70 / 100
Bradford City W 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middlesbrough W Bradford City W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Middlesbrough W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Middlesbrough W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.4%
1.54
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Middlesbrough W attacking → ← attacking Bradford City W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Middlesbrough W scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

Bradford City W let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.40 goals.

Middlesbrough W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bradford City W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 9
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Blackburn W20173059:2054
2Middlesbrough W20141560:3143
3Leicester W20104644:3734
4Stoke City LFC W2086643:3730
5AFC Fylde W2085736:3029
6Derby W2092939:3529
7West Brom W2083933:3727
8Bradford City W20711240:4022
9Huddersfield W20551037:5320
10Nottingham W20531227:4918
11Newcastle Utd W20211716:657