Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Middlesbrough W vs Derby W

England England

Women's National League North 2021/2022 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
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AI Match Summary

Derby W in this Women's National League North 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derby W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Middlesbrough W
20%
Draws
40%
Derby W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Derby W haven't matched Middlesbrough W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Middlesbrough W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Women's National League North 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Middlesbrough W Clean Sheet 20%
Derby W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middlesbrough W Derby W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.41 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Middlesbrough W
1:0
Feb 8, 2026 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Middlesbrough W
0:4
Aug 31, 2025 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Derby W
1:0
Dec 19, 2021 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Derby W
0:2
Sep 26, 2021 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Middlesbrough W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middlesbrough W 40 / 100
Derby W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middlesbrough W Derby W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Middlesbrough W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Middlesbrough W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Derby W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Middlesbrough W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Middlesbrough W VS Derby W
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Middlesbrough W

(Home)
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Middlesbrough W
1 : 0
West Brom W
16 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
26 Apr
Middlesbrough W
0 : 0
West Brom W
12 Apr
Sporting Khalsa W
1 : 2
Middlesbrough W
Page 1 of 6

Derby W

(Away)
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Derby W
0 : 1
Rugby Borough W
16 Aug
Liverpool Feds W
5 : 1
Derby W
26 Apr
Derby W
1 : 1
Liverpool Feds W
12 Apr
West Brom W
0 : 2
Derby W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolverhampton W 24 18 5 1 61:16 59
2 Derby W 24 16 3 5 48:19 51
3 AFC Fylde W 24 14 5 5 47:28 47
4 Burnley W 24 14 4 6 70:27 46
5 Nottingham W 24 13 5 6 40:17 44
6 Huddersfield W 24 13 4 7 54:28 43
7 Brighouse Town W 24 11 7 6 51:31 40
8 West Brom W 24 7 7 10 29:44 28
9 Stoke City LFC W 24 8 1 15 36:54 25
10 Loughborough Lightning W 24 6 5 13 35:63 23
11 Middlesbrough W 24 5 3 16 27:67 18
12 Hull City W 24 2 3 19 18:72 9
13 Sheffield FC W 24 2 2 20 13:63 8
Promotion - Women's National League 2021/2022 (Main)