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Middlesbrough W vs Loughborough Lightning W

England England

Women's National League North 2021/2022 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Loughborough Lightning W in this Women's National League North 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Loughborough Lightning W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Middlesbrough W
15%
Draws
59%
Loughborough Lightning W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Loughborough Lightning W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Middlesbrough W have won more games recently than Loughborough Lightning W.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Loughborough Lightning W taking it.
  • Regular Women's National League North 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Middlesbrough W Clean Sheet 17%
Loughborough Lightning W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middlesbrough W Loughborough Lightning W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Loughborough Lightning W
3:1
Nov 30, 2025 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs Middlesbrough W
0:0
Mar 27, 2022 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Loughborough Lightning W
1:3
Oct 10, 2021 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs Middlesbrough W
1:2
Nov 1, 2020 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs Middlesbrough W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middlesbrough W 20 / 100
Loughborough Lightning W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middlesbrough W Loughborough Lightning W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loughborough Lightning W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loughborough Lightning W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Middlesbrough W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Middlesbrough W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Middlesbrough W VS Loughborough Lightning W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Middlesbrough W

(Home)
20 Sept
Liverpool Feds W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
13 Sept
Middlesbrough W
0 : 2
Rugby Borough W
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Middlesbrough W
1 : 0
West Brom W
16 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
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Loughborough Lightning W

(Away)
20 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
13 Sept
Peterborough W
2 : 3
Loughborough Lightning W
30 Aug
Loughborough Lightning W
1 : 0
Stoke City LFC W
23 Aug
Huddersfield W
5 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
16 Aug
Loughborough Lightning W
2 : 3
Hull City W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolverhampton W 24 18 5 1 61:16 59
2 Derby W 24 16 3 5 48:19 51
3 AFC Fylde W 24 14 5 5 47:28 47
4 Burnley W 24 14 4 6 70:27 46
5 Nottingham W 24 13 5 6 40:17 44
6 Huddersfield W 24 13 4 7 54:28 43
7 Brighouse Town W 24 11 7 6 51:31 40
8 West Brom W 24 7 7 10 29:44 28
9 Stoke City LFC W 24 8 1 15 36:54 25
10 Loughborough Lightning W 24 6 5 13 35:63 23
11 Middlesbrough W 24 5 3 16 27:67 18
12 Hull City W 24 2 3 19 18:72 9
13 Sheffield FC W 24 2 2 20 13:63 8
Promotion - Women's National League 2021/2022 (Main)