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Middlesbrough W vs Loughborough Lightning W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League North
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Middlesbrough W host Loughborough Lightning W in the Women's National League North. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Loughborough Lightning W have shipped 2.04 goals a game lately, while Middlesbrough W have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Middlesbrough W slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.31) back Middlesbrough W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Middlesbrough W
20%
Draws
64%
Loughborough Lightning W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Loughborough Lightning W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Middlesbrough W have won more games recently than Loughborough Lightning W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Middlesbrough W Clean Sheet 18%
Loughborough Lightning W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middlesbrough W Loughborough Lightning W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Loughborough Lightning W
3:1
Nov 30, 2025 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs Middlesbrough W
0:0
Mar 27, 2022 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Loughborough Lightning W
1:3
Oct 10, 2021 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs Middlesbrough W
1:2
Nov 1, 2020 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs Middlesbrough W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middlesbrough W 31 / 100
Loughborough Lightning W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middlesbrough W Loughborough Lightning W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Middlesbrough W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Middlesbrough W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Loughborough Lightning W let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Loughborough Lightning W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Middlesbrough W VS Loughborough Lightning W
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Middlesbrough W

(Home)
18 Oct
Huddersfield W
3 : 1
Middlesbrough W
11 Oct
Middlesbrough W
1 : 1
Norwich W
04 Oct
Middlesbrough W
0 : 1
Peterborough W
20 Sept
Liverpool Feds W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
13 Sept
Middlesbrough W
0 : 2
Rugby Borough W
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Loughborough Lightning W

(Away)
18 Oct
Loughborough Lightning W
0 : 2
Liverpool Feds W
11 Oct
West Brom W
3 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
04 Oct
Loughborough Lightning W
2 : 3
Norwich W
20 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
13 Sept
Peterborough W
2 : 3
Loughborough Lightning W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rugby Borough W 8 7 0 1 20:2 21
2 West Brom W 8 6 0 2 15:7 18
3 Huddersfield W 8 5 2 1 21:12 17
4 Stoke City LFC W 8 4 2 2 16:8 14
5 Liverpool Feds W 8 4 0 4 16:14 12
6 Derby W 8 4 0 4 11:14 12
7 Peterborough W 8 4 0 4 11:18 12
8 Norwich W 8 2 4 2 10:10 10
9 Loughborough Lightning W 8 2 1 5 11:19 7
10 Boldmere St Michaels W 8 1 3 4 11:21 6
11 Middlesbrough W 8 1 1 6 3:10 4
12 Hull City W 8 1 1 6 7:17 4
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