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Stadium Background

Midland vs Nueva Chicago Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Mendez E.
32'
Rogoski M.
35'
Marin F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Midland and Nueva Chicago finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Midland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Midland
15%
Draws
46%
Nueva Chicago
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nueva Chicago

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Midland come out ahead of Nueva Chicago on wins alone.
  • Midland are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Midland Clean Sheet 68%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Midland Nueva Chicago
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.19 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Primera Nacional
Midland vs Nueva Chicago
2:0
Apr 13, 2026 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Midland
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Midland Compare

Top Goalscorer Luna R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roseti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nueva Chicago Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Midland 46 / 100
Nueva Chicago 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Midland Nueva Chicago

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Midland scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Nueva Chicago let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Midland has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Midland VS Nueva Chicago
1.38 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Midland

(Home)
27 Sept
Midland
0 : 1
Tristan Suarez
20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2
Midland
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
06 Sept
San Martin S.J.
3 : 2
Midland
02 Sept
Colegiales
3 : 0
Midland
Page 1 of 7

Nueva Chicago

(Away)
27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1
Nueva Chicago
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0
Quilmes
29 Aug
Midland
2 : 0
Nueva Chicago
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 31 18 7 6 36:25 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
4 Deportivo Madryn 31 13 11 7 44:28 50
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)